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Friday, 03 August 12
INDIA - LIGHTS OUT! - SALVA
The Indian power sector hit global headlines this week for all the wrong reasons. Firstly, on Monday, over 350 million people lost power across northern India, including Delhi. The following day, the lights went out again, but this time over 600 million people in 20 of India’s 28 states were affected, with the outages covering range of 3000 kilometers in the northern and eastern regions. The authorities’ response has ranged from blaming states for overdrawing from the grid, to appointing a committee to inquire into the causes of the blackout. However, these latest outages are merely symptomatic of much larger problems in India’s power sector, which has been short of power for years.
In Salva’s view, the problem does not lie within the generation sector – but with its upstream (coal supply and transportation) and downstream (transmission and distribution) counterparts. Since the generation sector was deregulated in FY03-04 to enable private participation, installed generation capacity has almost doubled, growing by 92GW or 85%, at a CAGR of 10.8%. The vast majority of this new capacity is coal-fired, which added another 18GW of new capacity in FY11-12 and a further 4.2GW in Q1’12.
However, this new power generation capacity is not being fully utilised, with plant load factors for coal declining from 79.2% in H1’11 to 75.8% in H1’12 and 72% most recently in June. Over 4.3TWh of coal-fired generation was lost in June alone due to low coal supply with a further 1.4TWh lost because of transmission constraints and unplanned outages. Given these figures, clearly thermal coal supply remains a problem. While domestic coal production has increased in 2012, it has languished in recent years, growing at around 1% (5Mt) between 2008-11, which pales in comparison against annual coal-fired power capacity growth of over 10%. Even when production is strong, which it has been in early 2012 (by Indian standards), transportation of coal remains highly problematic. Indian Railways has not been able to procure wagons in time to boost availability sufficiently. This has resulted in coal shortages at power plants and growth in coal mine stockpiles. Transport capacity remains severely constrained as capacity addition has languished at the altar of populism. Passenger traffic shares the same infrastructure as freight, causing freight such as coal to be given a lower priority.
The Electricity Act of 2003 freed up the generation sector, but the same reforms haven’t yet percolated to the transmission and distribution sectors, which are suffering from the same bottlenecks that existed prior to 2003. Transmission capacity is not being developed at the same pace as generation capacity, while distribution reforms remain a pipe dream. As domestic coal production has not kept pace with demand, power producers have used much costlier imported coal to generate electricity. However, India’s tariff framework is still lagging behind, so the State Electricity Boards require ever increasing financial support from state owned banks and financial institutions. Tariff reform is an immediate requirement. Only that will facilitate the sector’s much needed investment.
What are the implications if this is not done now?
Indian cities are accustomed to power cuts. However, increasing prosperity has increased electricity demand and, coupled with the weak monsoon this year, has caused power demand to spike. Agricultural states like Uttar Pradesh, Haryana and Punjab have increasingly overdrawn power from the grids to feed the agricultural sector (which ironically is not metered as power is free for farmers) and to meet residential demand. The agricultural sector is still dependent upon the monsoon as the irrigation network is not widespread, and the weak monsoon has resulted in farmers pumping groundwater onto their fields. Generally electricity demand is low during the monsoon months (June-September) as the rains reduce temperatures. However, the rains have been weak and hence residential power demand has remained strong. This has been further exacerbated with the additional demand from the agricultural sector. State power distribution companies have not planned in advance to buy additional electricity and have overdrawn power from the grid without additional generation being supplied. This has destabilised the grid and caused it to fail.
The impact of the electricity shortages have been felt by the public at large, with a few incidents of people protesting on the road. However, it hasn’t erupted into widespread unrest - thankfully.
The implications of not carrying out reforms in the transmission and distribution sector are now apparent. Lack of adequate investment in the transmission sector will hobble the impressive generation capacity that has been developed. Lack of commercial reforms in the power distribution sector will not provide the returns or even cover the basic cost of generation. The power sector is already sick and if reforms are not carried out with the seriousness required, India will suffer further setbacks.
Source: Salva
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Tuesday, 03 July 12
DRY BULK MARKET INCHED FORWARD AT THE START OF THE WEEK - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market inched forward at the beginning of the new week, prior to the US holidays regarding the celebration of the 4th of July, which is ...
Monday, 02 July 12
ORPHEUS STRENGTHENS REVENUE STREAM WITH NEW ROYALTY AGREEMENT AT THE B2 COAL PROJECT
Orpheus Energy (ASX:OEG) is pleased to advise that it has executed a life of mine Royalty Agreement with Indonesian mining contractor PT Debbia Mini ...
Monday, 02 July 12
DRY BULK DEMAND TO RISE TO 3.6 BILLION TONNES IN 2012, BUT NEW BUILDING DELIVERIES ARE
In its latest analysis on the dry bulk market fundamentals, DVB Bank said that dry bulk cargo demand is forecast to rise to approximately 3.6 billio ...
Sunday, 01 July 12
AUSTRALIAS CARBON TAX - SUNIL K KUMBHAT
COALspot.com - Climate Change
Climate change and global warming have now become buzzwords the world over. The disastrous consequences for global ...
Sunday, 01 July 12
DSP OF SGX ASIACLEAR OTC COAL SWAP'S THIS WEEKS MOVEMENTS SLIGHTLY POSITIVE
COALspot.com - SGX AsiaClear OTC Coal Swaps have recovered slightly this week and Q4 deliveries are also showing positive direction.
SGX’s ...
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- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- VISA Power Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- PTC India Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
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