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Friday, 03 August 12
INDIA - LIGHTS OUT! - SALVA
The Indian power sector hit global headlines this week for all the wrong reasons. Firstly, on Monday, over 350 million people lost power across northern India, including Delhi. The following day, the lights went out again, but this time over 600 million people in 20 of India’s 28 states were affected, with the outages covering range of 3000 kilometers in the northern and eastern regions. The authorities’ response has ranged from blaming states for overdrawing from the grid, to appointing a committee to inquire into the causes of the blackout. However, these latest outages are merely symptomatic of much larger problems in India’s power sector, which has been short of power for years.
In Salva’s view, the problem does not lie within the generation sector – but with its upstream (coal supply and transportation) and downstream (transmission and distribution) counterparts. Since the generation sector was deregulated in FY03-04 to enable private participation, installed generation capacity has almost doubled, growing by 92GW or 85%, at a CAGR of 10.8%. The vast majority of this new capacity is coal-fired, which added another 18GW of new capacity in FY11-12 and a further 4.2GW in Q1’12.
However, this new power generation capacity is not being fully utilised, with plant load factors for coal declining from 79.2% in H1’11 to 75.8% in H1’12 and 72% most recently in June. Over 4.3TWh of coal-fired generation was lost in June alone due to low coal supply with a further 1.4TWh lost because of transmission constraints and unplanned outages. Given these figures, clearly thermal coal supply remains a problem. While domestic coal production has increased in 2012, it has languished in recent years, growing at around 1% (5Mt) between 2008-11, which pales in comparison against annual coal-fired power capacity growth of over 10%. Even when production is strong, which it has been in early 2012 (by Indian standards), transportation of coal remains highly problematic. Indian Railways has not been able to procure wagons in time to boost availability sufficiently. This has resulted in coal shortages at power plants and growth in coal mine stockpiles. Transport capacity remains severely constrained as capacity addition has languished at the altar of populism. Passenger traffic shares the same infrastructure as freight, causing freight such as coal to be given a lower priority.
The Electricity Act of 2003 freed up the generation sector, but the same reforms haven’t yet percolated to the transmission and distribution sectors, which are suffering from the same bottlenecks that existed prior to 2003. Transmission capacity is not being developed at the same pace as generation capacity, while distribution reforms remain a pipe dream. As domestic coal production has not kept pace with demand, power producers have used much costlier imported coal to generate electricity. However, India’s tariff framework is still lagging behind, so the State Electricity Boards require ever increasing financial support from state owned banks and financial institutions. Tariff reform is an immediate requirement. Only that will facilitate the sector’s much needed investment.
What are the implications if this is not done now?
Indian cities are accustomed to power cuts. However, increasing prosperity has increased electricity demand and, coupled with the weak monsoon this year, has caused power demand to spike. Agricultural states like Uttar Pradesh, Haryana and Punjab have increasingly overdrawn power from the grids to feed the agricultural sector (which ironically is not metered as power is free for farmers) and to meet residential demand. The agricultural sector is still dependent upon the monsoon as the irrigation network is not widespread, and the weak monsoon has resulted in farmers pumping groundwater onto their fields. Generally electricity demand is low during the monsoon months (June-September) as the rains reduce temperatures. However, the rains have been weak and hence residential power demand has remained strong. This has been further exacerbated with the additional demand from the agricultural sector. State power distribution companies have not planned in advance to buy additional electricity and have overdrawn power from the grid without additional generation being supplied. This has destabilised the grid and caused it to fail.
The impact of the electricity shortages have been felt by the public at large, with a few incidents of people protesting on the road. However, it hasn’t erupted into widespread unrest - thankfully.
The implications of not carrying out reforms in the transmission and distribution sector are now apparent. Lack of adequate investment in the transmission sector will hobble the impressive generation capacity that has been developed. Lack of commercial reforms in the power distribution sector will not provide the returns or even cover the basic cost of generation. The power sector is already sick and if reforms are not carried out with the seriousness required, India will suffer further setbacks.
Source: Salva
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Saturday, 14 July 12
FREIGHT MARKET SEEMS TO BE QUITE VOLATILE - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The market seems to be quite volatile with the trend changing almost every week. This week all the segments were down except for Pana ...
Friday, 13 July 12
TRANSCOAL MINERGY HAS RECEIVED PMA STATUS IN INDONESIA
COALspot.com - PT Transcoal Minergy (“TCM”) has received official foreign owned company status from the Capital Investment Coordinating ...
Thursday, 12 July 12
LACK OF CAPESIZE DEMAND DRAGS DRY BULK MARKET LOWER - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
A lack of demand for the larger Capesize dry bulk carriers had as a result the fall of the industry’s benchmark, the BDI (Baltic Dry Index), w ...
Thursday, 12 July 12
RIO TINTO'S SENIOR MANAGEMENT CHANGES
COALspot.com - Rio Tinto is making changes to its senior management team as chief financial officer (CFO) Guy Elliott has decided to retire at the e ...
Thursday, 12 July 12
SOUTHGOBI RESOURCES ANNOUNCES NOTICE OF INVESTMENT DISPUTE FILED AGAINST MONGOLIAN GOVERNMENT
Press Release - SouthGobi Resources Ltd. (TSX: SGQ, HK: 1878) (“SouthGobi”) announced today that SGQ Coal Investment Pte. Ltd., a wholly ...
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- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
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- PTC India Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
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- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
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- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
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- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
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- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- CNBM International Corporation - China
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- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
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- Posco Energy - South Korea
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- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
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- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
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- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- White Energy Company Limited
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
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- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
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