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Friday, 03 August 12
INDIA - LIGHTS OUT! - SALVA
The Indian power sector hit global headlines this week for all the wrong reasons. Firstly, on Monday, over 350 million people lost power across northern India, including Delhi. The following day, the lights went out again, but this time over 600 million people in 20 of India’s 28 states were affected, with the outages covering range of 3000 kilometers in the northern and eastern regions. The authorities’ response has ranged from blaming states for overdrawing from the grid, to appointing a committee to inquire into the causes of the blackout. However, these latest outages are merely symptomatic of much larger problems in India’s power sector, which has been short of power for years.
In Salva’s view, the problem does not lie within the generation sector – but with its upstream (coal supply and transportation) and downstream (transmission and distribution) counterparts. Since the generation sector was deregulated in FY03-04 to enable private participation, installed generation capacity has almost doubled, growing by 92GW or 85%, at a CAGR of 10.8%. The vast majority of this new capacity is coal-fired, which added another 18GW of new capacity in FY11-12 and a further 4.2GW in Q1’12.
However, this new power generation capacity is not being fully utilised, with plant load factors for coal declining from 79.2% in H1’11 to 75.8% in H1’12 and 72% most recently in June. Over 4.3TWh of coal-fired generation was lost in June alone due to low coal supply with a further 1.4TWh lost because of transmission constraints and unplanned outages. Given these figures, clearly thermal coal supply remains a problem. While domestic coal production has increased in 2012, it has languished in recent years, growing at around 1% (5Mt) between 2008-11, which pales in comparison against annual coal-fired power capacity growth of over 10%. Even when production is strong, which it has been in early 2012 (by Indian standards), transportation of coal remains highly problematic. Indian Railways has not been able to procure wagons in time to boost availability sufficiently. This has resulted in coal shortages at power plants and growth in coal mine stockpiles. Transport capacity remains severely constrained as capacity addition has languished at the altar of populism. Passenger traffic shares the same infrastructure as freight, causing freight such as coal to be given a lower priority.
The Electricity Act of 2003 freed up the generation sector, but the same reforms haven’t yet percolated to the transmission and distribution sectors, which are suffering from the same bottlenecks that existed prior to 2003. Transmission capacity is not being developed at the same pace as generation capacity, while distribution reforms remain a pipe dream. As domestic coal production has not kept pace with demand, power producers have used much costlier imported coal to generate electricity. However, India’s tariff framework is still lagging behind, so the State Electricity Boards require ever increasing financial support from state owned banks and financial institutions. Tariff reform is an immediate requirement. Only that will facilitate the sector’s much needed investment.
What are the implications if this is not done now?
Indian cities are accustomed to power cuts. However, increasing prosperity has increased electricity demand and, coupled with the weak monsoon this year, has caused power demand to spike. Agricultural states like Uttar Pradesh, Haryana and Punjab have increasingly overdrawn power from the grids to feed the agricultural sector (which ironically is not metered as power is free for farmers) and to meet residential demand. The agricultural sector is still dependent upon the monsoon as the irrigation network is not widespread, and the weak monsoon has resulted in farmers pumping groundwater onto their fields. Generally electricity demand is low during the monsoon months (June-September) as the rains reduce temperatures. However, the rains have been weak and hence residential power demand has remained strong. This has been further exacerbated with the additional demand from the agricultural sector. State power distribution companies have not planned in advance to buy additional electricity and have overdrawn power from the grid without additional generation being supplied. This has destabilised the grid and caused it to fail.
The impact of the electricity shortages have been felt by the public at large, with a few incidents of people protesting on the road. However, it hasn’t erupted into widespread unrest - thankfully.
The implications of not carrying out reforms in the transmission and distribution sector are now apparent. Lack of adequate investment in the transmission sector will hobble the impressive generation capacity that has been developed. Lack of commercial reforms in the power distribution sector will not provide the returns or even cover the basic cost of generation. The power sector is already sick and if reforms are not carried out with the seriousness required, India will suffer further setbacks.
Source: Salva
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Thursday, 02 August 12
OIL & GAS COMPANIES TO MEET IN MYANMAR FOR UPDATES ON NEW ROUND OF BIDDING AND INVESTMENT POTENTIAL IN UPSTREAM OIL, GAS, AND POWER GENERATION
Press Release - 2nd MOGP Summit (Myanmar Oil, Gas & Power) will convene in Yangon from 3 – 6 September 2012, to unveil new round of biddin ...
Thursday, 02 August 12
DRY BULK MARKET RATES CONTINUE SLUMP AMID SLOWER DEMAND NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market kept on its downward path Wednesday, as the BDI (Baltic Dry Index) kept retreating to new lows. The index was down by 2.12 perce ...
Monday, 30 July 12
DRY BULK MARKET TO REMAIN UNDER PRESSURE FOR THE REST OF 2012 - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
In an interview with Hellenic Shipping News Worldwide, Mr. Yannis Pachoulis, President of the Hellenic Shipbrokers' Association, remains cautiously ...
Sunday, 29 July 12
FREIGHT MARKET MOMENTUM CONTINUES TO WEAK
COALspot.com - The freight market continued to soft this week with all the segments dropped and the BDI fell below 1,000 points and closed at 933 po ...
Saturday, 28 July 12
CAL 2013 COAL SWAPS ARE HIGHER COMPARED TO SEPT 2012 PRICES
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for September 2012 delivery gain 0.47 percent on Friday (27 July 2012) closing DoD but lost 0.90 ...
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- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Planning Commission, India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
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