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Friday, 03 August 12
INDIA - LIGHTS OUT! - SALVA
The Indian power sector hit global headlines this week for all the wrong reasons. Firstly, on Monday, over 350 million people lost power across northern India, including Delhi. The following day, the lights went out again, but this time over 600 million people in 20 of India’s 28 states were affected, with the outages covering range of 3000 kilometers in the northern and eastern regions. The authorities’ response has ranged from blaming states for overdrawing from the grid, to appointing a committee to inquire into the causes of the blackout. However, these latest outages are merely symptomatic of much larger problems in India’s power sector, which has been short of power for years.
In Salva’s view, the problem does not lie within the generation sector – but with its upstream (coal supply and transportation) and downstream (transmission and distribution) counterparts. Since the generation sector was deregulated in FY03-04 to enable private participation, installed generation capacity has almost doubled, growing by 92GW or 85%, at a CAGR of 10.8%. The vast majority of this new capacity is coal-fired, which added another 18GW of new capacity in FY11-12 and a further 4.2GW in Q1’12.
However, this new power generation capacity is not being fully utilised, with plant load factors for coal declining from 79.2% in H1’11 to 75.8% in H1’12 and 72% most recently in June. Over 4.3TWh of coal-fired generation was lost in June alone due to low coal supply with a further 1.4TWh lost because of transmission constraints and unplanned outages. Given these figures, clearly thermal coal supply remains a problem. While domestic coal production has increased in 2012, it has languished in recent years, growing at around 1% (5Mt) between 2008-11, which pales in comparison against annual coal-fired power capacity growth of over 10%. Even when production is strong, which it has been in early 2012 (by Indian standards), transportation of coal remains highly problematic. Indian Railways has not been able to procure wagons in time to boost availability sufficiently. This has resulted in coal shortages at power plants and growth in coal mine stockpiles. Transport capacity remains severely constrained as capacity addition has languished at the altar of populism. Passenger traffic shares the same infrastructure as freight, causing freight such as coal to be given a lower priority.
The Electricity Act of 2003 freed up the generation sector, but the same reforms haven’t yet percolated to the transmission and distribution sectors, which are suffering from the same bottlenecks that existed prior to 2003. Transmission capacity is not being developed at the same pace as generation capacity, while distribution reforms remain a pipe dream. As domestic coal production has not kept pace with demand, power producers have used much costlier imported coal to generate electricity. However, India’s tariff framework is still lagging behind, so the State Electricity Boards require ever increasing financial support from state owned banks and financial institutions. Tariff reform is an immediate requirement. Only that will facilitate the sector’s much needed investment.
What are the implications if this is not done now?
Indian cities are accustomed to power cuts. However, increasing prosperity has increased electricity demand and, coupled with the weak monsoon this year, has caused power demand to spike. Agricultural states like Uttar Pradesh, Haryana and Punjab have increasingly overdrawn power from the grids to feed the agricultural sector (which ironically is not metered as power is free for farmers) and to meet residential demand. The agricultural sector is still dependent upon the monsoon as the irrigation network is not widespread, and the weak monsoon has resulted in farmers pumping groundwater onto their fields. Generally electricity demand is low during the monsoon months (June-September) as the rains reduce temperatures. However, the rains have been weak and hence residential power demand has remained strong. This has been further exacerbated with the additional demand from the agricultural sector. State power distribution companies have not planned in advance to buy additional electricity and have overdrawn power from the grid without additional generation being supplied. This has destabilised the grid and caused it to fail.
The impact of the electricity shortages have been felt by the public at large, with a few incidents of people protesting on the road. However, it hasn’t erupted into widespread unrest - thankfully.
The implications of not carrying out reforms in the transmission and distribution sector are now apparent. Lack of adequate investment in the transmission sector will hobble the impressive generation capacity that has been developed. Lack of commercial reforms in the power distribution sector will not provide the returns or even cover the basic cost of generation. The power sector is already sick and if reforms are not carried out with the seriousness required, India will suffer further setbacks.
Source: Salva
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Saturday, 25 August 12
FREIGHT RATES ARE EXPECTED TO BE STEADY NEXT WEEK - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - This week the indices showed some signs of improvement will all the segments moving up except for the handy size.
The BDI was marg ...
Saturday, 25 August 12
INDONESIAN COAL SWAP REMAINS STABLE AT LOW LEVEL
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for October 2012 delivery gain 0.804 percent W-o-W on Friday (24 August 2012) closing but lost 0. ...
Thursday, 23 August 12
INDONESIA-INDIA, LARGE ECO SUPRA FIXED AT USD 6K FOR DELIVERY SOUTH CHINA - FEARNLEYS AS
Handy
The market continued the same trend as last week, low activity and holidays in some countries.
Rate wise unchanged, with US Gulf/Continent ...
Thursday, 23 August 12
EGCO GROUP EXPANDS TOWARDS INTEGRATED ENERGY BUSINESS WITH INVESTMENT IN INDONESIAS COAL MINE
Electricity Generating Public Company Limited or EGCO Group, the Thailand’s first Independent Power Producer has continually invaded foreign m ...
Thursday, 23 August 12
EGCO GROUP ANNOUNCES 2 BILLION BAHT PROFITS IN Q2/2012
Successfully Establishes Integrated Energy Business and Strengthen Investments in ASEAN
Mr. Sahust Pratuknukul, President of Electri ...
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- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Australian Coal Association
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- The University of Queensland
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
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