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Monday, 30 July 12
DRY BULK MARKET TO REMAIN UNDER PRESSURE FOR THE REST OF 2012 - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
In an interview with Hellenic Shipping News Worldwide, Mr. Yannis Pachoulis, President of the Hellenic Shipbrokers' Association, remains cautiously optimistic regarding the dry bulk market's long-term prospects. He states that the current downturn was expected, as more and more newbuilding vessels were scheduled to hit the water, on the back of a huge orderbook. He adds that with global dry bulk trade expected to increase exponentially during the next few years, the current oversupply of dry bulk tonnage will be gradually absorbed, thus helping to bring freight rates back to more sustainable levels.
Since the start of the year, we've witnessed a dry bulk market collapse. Why has this occurred? Was the fall expected or did its extent take some under surprise?
Well we cannot name it a ‘collapse’. It is indeed a free fall, but bearing in mind the world’s economy situation together with the oversupply of tonnage due to mass deliveries of newbuildings, ordered during the last five years, brought the tough times of shipping industry we are experiencing now. The fall was expected as the supply of tonnage increased dramatically and broke the balance of supply and demand. I am sure that the prudent owners and brokers have predicted this fall and in most cases were prepared for it.
Is China in a position to be the dry bulk market's powerhouse, like it has been in the past years?
For the last decade China proved to be the dry bulk market’s powerhouse. As the Chinese Government’s 20 years development plan is running , raw materials will be needed, so it will still remain the master powerhouse not only for shipping but for trading also. We have to keep in mind that although the imports of iron ore, which is the primary raw material, might decrease, the imported iron ore is going to be well above half a billion tons. China’s total output in iron ore is estimated to be around 1.5 billion tons this year against 1.33 billion tons in 2011 out of which 686 million tons were imported. It is therefore obvious that China will remain the great source of seaborne trade.
How do you see the market behaving in months until the end of the year? Is a rebound to healthier levels imminent or will ship owners have to be patient and weather the storm?
It’s a good question. Personally, I don’t see great changes till the end of the year – which in my opinion is healthy – of course we are expecting an increase in 4th quarter as it is common in shipping, but nothing extraordinary. The fluctuations of the market will continue and the usual geographical gaps will remain. Shipping as a globalized industry has to be patient, following the international trade market which is showing some optimistic signs, for example the growth of the world trade predicted to reach close to 100 % next 15 years with specific areas like S.America, India, Australia, China, Mexico, African and South East Asian countries expected to play a prime role in future. In the meantime India’s coal imports have already increased during the last three years and expected to have a further increase of approximately 35-36 % in the years to come.
What about demolition activity? Is scrapping activity enough to compensate for part of the newbuilding deliveries?
Demolition is definitely a way to assist the balance of supply and demand. We have already seen a great increase in scrapping activity the last three years. It is obvious that a weak market is leading most of the overaged tonnage to the scrapyards. During 2010 the total dwt scrapped was 28 million tons, 2011 was 42 million tons and the number is growing by nearly 50% during 2012. Scrap prices are still high and owners should take advantage of the prevailing needs and prices and lead their old tonnage to demolition yards, thus giving a chance to their younger tonnage to survive. The average age of scrapped tonnage jumped from 30.5 years in 2010 to 28 years today for dry cargo vessels and 22 years for tankers.
In terms of demand, could other countries like India come to the help of dry bulk ship owners?
As explained hereabove, India’s coal imports are likely to increase from 137 to 185 million tons. Having a target growth rate of 7.5 per cent per year, India seems to be one of the leading countries worldwide in terms of industrial and agricultural infrastructure. And it's not the only one. There are other economies which are giving signs of emerging growth. Russian economy with the known resources, Brazil with the sugar and iron ore trade, Argentina with the grain production, USA and Canada with their industrial and grains products, Australia with the iron ore and coal exports. It’s a promising lot, therefore we should be optimistic for the future of shipping.
Do you expect shipping companies to come under further pressure from banks and lenders in general, with some of them even exiting the market all together?
It all depends on the policy of the banks. There is indeed a pressure, especially to shipowners which purchased their fleet during the very high market of 2006-2008, when the values were sky high. We have recently seen banking and financing organizations to resign from their shipping activities for various reasons, like Commerzbank – being a key player in shipping finance-which decided to exit shipping . But in the meantime we have also experienced refinancing facilities from banks which were not heavily involved in the industry. Hopefully we are not going to see unfortunate events i.e. shipping companies exiting the shipping market due to financial problems created by banks.
Do you believe that the latest fuel regulations regarding ship emissions will ultimately lead to "greener" vessels? Are ship owners looking to build more efficient vessels, or will their preferred solution be to install new engine technologies onboard existing vessels in order to comply with low-sulphur fuel regulations?
Definitely the new fuel regulations are already leading shipowners in building ‘greener’ vessels. Most of the major shipyards have already created new designs of eco-type vessels which will be the leading force in future. Apparently the shipyards following the high bunker prices and the new regulations are trying to create environment friendly vessels with low consumption using, at least in the areas where imposed, the low-sulphur bunkers.
On the other hand the already existing fleet will have to harmonize with the new regulations so the owners have to make all necessary arrangements in order to comply with them, otherwise they are going to face ‘prohibited areas’ in the trade of their ships.
How has the eurozone debt crisis and more importantly the Hellenic financial woes affected your day-to-day business?
We are living in Greece and as Greeks, we are facing the problem of this crisis. It is definitely affecting our life but in the meantime strengthens our will to assist in any possible way our country to overcome this difficulty. Eurozone’s economical situation cannot be considered as smooth. There are different economical levels of the member countries and we have to reach an accepted balance. This is not easy but I strongly believe it can be achieved, provided that there will be understanding from all parties concerned. Our day-to-day business is running normally for the time being but definitely affected, having to live in an uncertain economical environment, but again we are optimistic.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Wednesday, 29 August 12
COLOMBIA'S MINING BOOM: PART ONE - JOSEPH KIRSCHKE
COALspot.com - Colombia stands before one of the potentially largest, most diversified mining booms in the world. Untold reserves of gold, coal, cop ...
Wednesday, 29 August 12
SECOND HAND VESSELS IN HIGH DEMAND DESPITE SUMMER SEASON - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
Despite the slow summer season, ship owners appear to be rather keen in acquiring some modern second hand tonnage at "knock-down" prices. ...
Monday, 27 August 12
BUMI BOOKS $322.1 MILLION NET LOSS IN 1H 2012 IN SPITE OF 8.6 PERCENT INCREASE IN SALES REVENUE
PT Bumi Resources Tbk, the single largest coal producer and exporter in Indonesia announces its first half financial report for the ...
Monday, 27 August 12
OVER 200 FOREIGN COMPANIES AND ENERGY MAJORS EXPECTED AT 2ND MOGP SUMMIT IN YANGON
Singapore based CMT and Machinery & Solutions Co. Ltd (M&S) announce that the 2nd MOGP Summit will be held on 3-6 September at the Sedona ho ...
Sunday, 26 August 12
SOUTH AFRICAN COAL OVERVIEW
South Africa's indigenous energy resource base is dominated by coal.
Internationally, coal is the most widely used primary fuel, accounting for ...
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- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Australian Coal Association
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- The University of Queensland
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
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