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Saturday, 28 July 12
CAL 2013 COAL SWAPS ARE HIGHER COMPARED TO SEPT 2012 PRICES


COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for September 2012 delivery gain 0.47 percent on Friday (27 July 2012) closing DoD but lost 0.90 percent WoW, according to AsiaClear OTC coal swaps. 

Sub-Bit FOB Indonesia coal swaps for September delivery opened on Monday (23 July 2012) at US$ 62.05 pmt and closed on Friday at $ 61.49  lost around $ 0.56 pmt. The Q4 deliveries and Cal 13 deliveries also lost $0.89 and $0.65 respectively.

However 2013 deliveries were showing positive trend compared to Q3 and Q4 2012 delivery prices. Cal 2013 deliveries for  Sub-Bit Indonesia coal was traded average at $ 68.12  pmt on 27 July 2012, which is $ 6.63 higher than  September delivery price.


According to Yanzhou Coal Mining Co. China’s fourth-largest producer of the coal, the china’s recovering economy will boost demand and the price of thermal coal from late September. “The economy in China is strengthening, so the expectation is demand will start to pick up toward the end of the third quarter,” Weimin Li, chairman of Shandong-based Yanzhou, said in Sydney. “ from late September, you will see support for prices.”, as reported by Bloomberg.

However, Peabody, the world's biggest non-government coal miner’s president Greg Boyce said he expected the thermal coal market to tighten, partly because of flooding by "amazing growth" from Indonesia while Indian demand had failed to fire, the Australian reported.

India, China, Indonesia and USA have to share the blame for the current  slummed  coal prices as US increased coal exports as low-priced shale gas is favored by domestic users, unexpectedly low demand from China and India, and more exports from Indonesia.

High production cost mines in Indonesia are in process to cut the production as the selling price of coal almost nearing or lower than their net production cost. Number of low GCV coal producers already stopped production.

The mining contractors are also facing a bad time right now. Any mine closure or production cut will drive mining contractors and logistic services companies including barging and shipping companies in to hard time as those industries are purely depends on mining industry.

According to small scale coal miners in Indonesia, Banks in Indonesia also reducing taking their credit exposure on coal mines and coal trading financing and beginning to reduce bank’s credit exposure in order to mitigate the risk of loss arising from a potential default from its customer due to current slummed coal prices.


CFR South China coal shipments to China for September delivery fell 0.30 percent DoD and 0.98 percent WoW on Friday.

Sub-Bit FOB Indonesia coal contracts for September 2012 delivery closed at US$ 61.49 on Friday ( 27 July 2012) compared to US$ 62.05 Monday opening, lost US$ 0.56 per MT. In the meantime, CFR South China coal September delivery lost US$ 0.82 pmt WoW on Friday (27 July) closed at US$ 82.58 against US$ 83.40 Monday Opening.

CFR South China coal, Q4 delivery lost few cents WoW and DoD but, Sub-Bit FOB Indonesia coal contracts gained 0.73 percent or US$ 0.46 pmt DoD but lost 1.38 percent WoW and closed at US$ 63.21. CFR South China coal lost 1.91 percent WoW and 0.86 percent DoD for the same period. CFR South China delivery (Q4 2012) has closed US$ at $ 83.57 compared to US$ 85.20 opening on Monday (23 July 2012).

A commodity swap is a financial agreement whereby a floating, or spot, price is exchanged for a fixed rate over a specified contract period.

Sub-Bit FOB Indonesia coal contracts and CFR South China coal for Cal 2013 deliveries closed at $ 68.12 pmt $ 89.08 pmt respectively on Friday. Cal 2013 delivery prices for Sub-Bit FOB Indonesia coal and CFR South China coal are $ 6.63 and $ 6.50 higher compared to September deliveries.

Year 2013, showing a positive direction for coal prices.
(Last updated on 29 July 2012 - 23:54 hrs GMT +08:00)



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