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Friday, 20 July 12
HANDYSIZES PROVE RATHER ATTRACTIVE AMONG OTHER SHIPS, IN TERMS OF FUTURE RETURNS ON INVESTMENT - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The Handysize segment of the dry bulk market appears to offer the best incentive among other ship types, for a ship owners to invest in, says Intermodal in a recent report. After all, the question on everyone’s lips these days appears to revolve around the timing of their investment on the market, as well as which type, size and age of vessel to buy. In the report, Intermodal noted that “we can look at the available historic data, and indicators to plan our strategy accordingly. We take the view that the investment should have adequate remaining life ahead to give its owners the required return. As far as the timing of the investment is concerned, one indicator is the forward ship supply at any given time, which is simply defined as the current fleet plus the orderbook at a specific point in time” said the report.
It added that in the Handysize sector, “the forward ship supply as of July 1st 2012 is less than what it was one year earlier by more than 50 vessels. Combined with the fact that 45% of the fleet is over 15 years old we believe that the supply in this segment has started shrinking and modern vessels or new buildings of this size may be more attractive than other sizes. Looking at the supramax size, we see that while the actual fleet grew by more than 300 vessels the past year the forward supply grew only by 50 vessels showing that the fleet is close to peaking and will soon start shrinking too.
In the panamax size, the existing fleet grew by 170 vessels the past year and the forward supply grew by around 80 vessels, confirming the fact that the panamax/kamsarmax supply has not peaked and the 650 vessels that are still on order will have a significant impact on the market. In the capesize segment we also have seen the forward supply contracting due to the depressed market leading to strong demolition activity” said Intermodal. It concluded its argument by asking the important question: “As we come out from the oversupply quicksand, the question is 'will the demand be there at the exit?”
In any case, prices are far lower than in 2008, prompting ship owners to examine their options. In a recent report, Golden Destiny noted that the price for a 5 year old Capesize dry bulk carrier of 172,000 dwt has fallen to about $33,4mil from $42,9 at the end of June 2011, while at end of June 2008 was more than $153 million. This comes to show how much ship prices have fallen in the past few years, which favors new investors in the business. On the other hand, it has caused major headaches among existing ship owners, especially those who invested at the end of the growth cycle, i.e. during the 2007-2008 period. They are now facing huge problems, as they have to provide added collaterals on bank who financed the purchase of those vessels. It's also one of the reasons that banks are reluctant to lend again to the shipping industry, which has been deemed as a risky one, as a result of these past "extravagance" of prices. This has caused some banks to become ship owners these days.
The shipbroker noted “that second hand vessel prices have plunged during the first half of 2012, mainly in the large sized segments, i.e. the Capesize and the Panamax one. In the panamax market, data from the Baltic Exchange shows that a 5 year old vessel of 52,000 dwt is now worth about $22 million, from $27.5 million at the end of June of 2011, while at the end of June of 2008, the cost for the same ship was more than $75 million.
The report also noted that "in the newbuilding market, similar sharp declines in prices offered by major yards are viewed with investors being more conservative in the placement of new contracts as the instability of the freight market and the challenge of oversupply with upcoming deliveries are creating uncertainty for strong newbuilding investments. A capesize unit of 186,300 dwt reported on order in February this year at Shanghai Waigaoqiao of China for a price in the region of $49,8mil, while at the end of May 2008, a capesize unit of 176,000 dwt had been reported on order at Chinese yard, Zhoushan Jinhawaian for a price about $88,5million" it concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Saturday, 11 August 12
INDONESIAN COAL REFERENCE PRICE HAS LOST 27.78 PERCENT YOY
COALspot.com - Indonesian HBA fell again in August.
The monthly coal reference price for coal sales this month fell 3.32 percent. HBA fell ...
Saturday, 11 August 12
SUB-BIT INDONESIA COAL SWAPS SEEN MOVING IN THE RIGHT DIRECTION
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for September 2012 delivery gain 1.29 percent W-o-W on Friday (10 August 2012) closing but lost 1 ...
Friday, 10 August 12
DRY BULK MARKET DROWNING FROM TONNAGE OVERSUPPLY - HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market has been overflowing with new building vessels, despite the fact that demand is more or less (and minus the seasonal factors) ri ...
Thursday, 09 August 12
3RD ANNUAL SHALE GAS
Press Release - With the North American shale gas boom, IBC’s 3rd Annual Shale Gas explores optimal strategies to monetize Asia’s domest ...
Wednesday, 08 August 12
EXPLOITASI AIMS TO RAISE RP 2.7T FOR ACQUISITION - THE JAKARTA POST
The Jakarta Post reported that, publicly listed coal miner PT Exploitasi Energi Indonesia (CNKO) is seeking to raise Rp 2.7 trillion (US$286.2 milli ...
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- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- The University of Queensland
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Planning Commission, India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
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