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Friday, 04 May 12
DEMOLITION KEY FOR DRY BULK MARKET RECOVERY - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The overflow of newbuilding vessels which “spilled over” into 2012 from 2011 brought the dry bulk market to a near collapse level at the early stages of this year. Stunned, shipowners were helplessly watching as freight rates tumbled over and over again until the bottom of the market was finally reached in late February. It had taken the market back to levels even worse than those of the later part of 2008, when the world’s trade was in effect stopped, as a result of the global financial crisis, which had as a result the halting of issuing of letters of credit from banks, a necessary document for the movement of cargoes.
In its latest analysis, Intermodal discusses the issue of demolition activity and whether it could act as a “catalyst” to help the dry bulk market recover. According to Intermodal’s Panos Makrinos, “from the second half of 2008, there has been a significant plunge of freight rates which for some market segments has persisted until today. “All parties involved in the shipping industry continually voice that in order to deal with the severe oversupply problem and improve freight rates once more is to limit new building orders scrap older tonnage. For the later solution this would mean that all the early/mid 80’s vessels would head to scrapyards even if they are in excellent condition and well maintained with trading certificates for several more years. The question that arises here is whether this common thinking is indeed correct and able itself to recover the current uncertain market” wondered Makrinos.
He continued by mentioning that “starting from the current levels of demolition, we see that demo price levels are dropping incrementally week by week and the main reason for this fall has mainly been the weak demand of steel which will probably continue to suffer as Europe slides back into recession. This week, Bangladesh was the leader of all demo players around the world as most of the deals which reported for demo went to Bangladeshi scrap buyers at very impressive numbers in comparison with the price levels offered by all other demo markets. In terms of scrap prices, the most recent considerable deal that has been achieved in the dry segment was the Ukrainian built OKEAN type ‘’GOOD UNION’’ with lightship 13.630tns which fetched an unbelievable price at region USD 493 per ton.
On the other hand, the remaining demo buyers have appeared for one more week to have had a very conservative appetite, with their poor performance caused by the fact that they were not in a position to submit offers at attractive price levels. Moreover, it is said that there was a large number of renegotiations that have taken place recently. For the time being, all the cash buyers are becoming a little skeptical and deciding to focus on the tonnage they have already bought and sell off existing units before proceeding with new acquisitions.
Demo prices overall remained at similar price levels as they were in the last week, with wet tonnages to be around USD 425-490 per lightweight and dry units remaining to about USD 410-470 per lightship” he said.
He concluded his report by mentioning that “throughout 2011, we had continuously repeated that despite the very high activity reported in the demolition market during that year, oversupply still remained a serious headache for all ship owners creating uncertainty for the near term prospects of the shipping industry. In addition, the first four months of this year we noticed a large number of vessels being beached, however, freight rates are still remaining at low levels and nothing remarkable has changed. This result points to the fact that scrapping of vessels alone is not enough to provide a balance in the charter market. We will also need to see cancelations of N/B orders increase within the coming months, as well as a more moderate newbuilding ordering strategy by shipowners”.
Meanwhile, “in the The Indian market lost further support this week as offered prices dropped due to the decreased demand noted. Bangladeshi breakers still hold the lead in prices offered, while it seems as though Pakistan was able to cover the gap caused by the softening Indian market. With demand now remaining fairly soft, while the supply of candidates continues to put considerable downward pressure on the market, we could start to see prices decrease further over the coming weeks. This has not ben the case for the Turkish market were we have seen a sudden rapid increase in price levels, likely supported by the firm demand for scrap steel. Prices overall remained stable, with wet tonnages noting levels of around 425-490$/ldt and dry units holding at about 410-470$/ldt” said Intermodal.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Sunday, 17 June 12
S7 & S8 ROUTES ARE LIKELY TO BE SOFT NEXT WEEK - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The BDI gained some increase after continues fall for several weeks.
The BDI increased by 47 points (up by 5.36 pct) closing at 92 ...
Saturday, 16 June 12
INDONESIAN SUB-BITUMINOUS COAL & CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL CONTRACT SWAPS ARE UNDER PRESSURE
COALspot.com - Indonesian sub-bituminous coal swaps and CFR South China coal contracts for July deliveries seems to be under pressure this week.&nbs ...
Friday, 15 June 12
CAPESIZE - THE LEVELS THAT DID FIX ARE DOWN W-O-W LEVELS - FEARNLEYS
Handy
Another slow-moving market with rates hovering at same level as last week. US Gulf positions fixed USD 25,000 for trips to Cont/Passero and S ...
Thursday, 14 June 12
SMALLER DRY BULK CARRIERS LIKELY TO FACE MORE CHALLENGES; DEMOLITION ACTIVITY SET FOR RECORD YEAR - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
In its latest update on the dry bulk markets, BIMCO said that China is partly “failing to deliver” on raw material imports that can affe ...
Wednesday, 13 June 12
LOW COAL PRICES COULD CHANGE SUPPLY SIDE DYNAMICS - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch Ratings believes that the weakness seen in thermal coal prices in recent months should reverse once demand from major importers recovers, alth ...
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- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Economic Council, Georgia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- The University of Queensland
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
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