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Wednesday, 02 May 12
CHINA BLACKOUTS HIGHLIGHT PRICING POLICY WEAKNESS - FITCH
Fitch reported that, the likelihood of further electricity blackouts in China this summer underlines Fitch's view of the basic problem facing thermal electricity generators - that the tariff framework is not sustainable in the long term.
The problem centres on China's thermal or coal-fired plants, which in 2011 represented 72.5% of total electricity production of 4,692.8TWh, and are likely to remain the backbone of electricity generation for the foreseeable future. The problem is not with China's national electricity grid, which is well developed, but rather with the non-viability of the pricing mechanism for the coal-fired generators.
The Chinese thermal generators are unwilling to produce excess electricity in peak periods when their marginal generation costs are above the tariffs the government will allow them to charge the grid companies. Tariff adjustments have not been timely or sufficient despite the rising cost of coal, as the government has prioritised the management of inflation - thereby constraining profitability. The weak economics have also discouraged private-sector investment, while the state-linked thermal generators - Huaneng International ('BB+'/Stable), Datang International ('BB'/Stable), China Power International Development ('BB'/Stable), and Huadian International ('BB-'/Stable) - are now struggling with substantially weakened balance sheets.
Coal input prices for the thermal generators have increased dramatically over the past three years to end-2011, rising by an average of 16% pa. Meanwhile, the Chinese government has only allowed nationwide electricity tariffs to rise once in the last two years, by around 5% for non-residential customers in December 2011. Some tariff increases also occurred in selective provinces in April 2011, but the impact on generators' profitability was limited.
A 5% cap on annual coal price increases was introduced along with the December 2011 electricity tariff revision, but this applied only to contracted coal prices. These capped prices only represent around 30%-40% of the total needs of most thermal generators. Accordingly, large amounts of coal have to be bought on the spot market at substantially higher prices, making excess electricity production an uneconomic proposition. The substantial premium - typically 30% - on spot market prices against the capped contract coal price results in coal producers seeking ways to reduce their contracted sales in favour of spot sales, which is steadily eroding any benefit from the coal price caps.
A longer-term problem, and a potential cause of an eventual structural shortfall in generation capacity, is that limited profit - or losses - from thermal operations have since 2008 led to new capex in the industry being diverted away from thermal and into wind, hydro and vertical integration via coal mine acquisitions. A National Energy Administration (NEA) report dated 30 January 30 2012 confirmed that China's investment in thermal power assets fell again in 2011, by 26%, to CNY105.4bn. This trend, which cannot be reversed quickly due to the typical minimum two-year lead time to build new thermal capacity, is a serious concern given China's continued dependence on coal for its power generation.
The Chinese thermal generators are likely to face sustained weak operating cash flows and negative free cash generation under this heavily regulated environment, a situation which Fitch believes to be unsustainable in light of the continued growth in the Chinese economy. The agency believes that China is looking to introduce price reforms across the energy industries, but achieving a truly cost-reflective tariff regime is likely to take several more years, and will require a favourable inflationary climate. In the meantime, demand will continue to outstrip supply, even if - theoretically - the capacity exists within the generation system.
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Monday, 23 July 12
NTPC INVITES BIDS FOR 2.6 MILLION TONS OF LOW MOISTURE IMPORTED COAL
COALspot.com - India’s largest electricity generator, NTPC Limited, incorporated in 1975 as a public sector company wholly owned by Government ...
Sunday, 22 July 12
NEW CHAIRMAN FOR AUSTRALIAN COAL ASSOCIATION
The Australian Coal Association (ACA) announced that Mr Ross Willims has been appointed as its new independent Chairman effective November 5 2012. M ...
Sunday, 22 July 12
CENTRAL KALIMANTAN COAL RAILWAY NETWORK WILL BE BUILT BY 2015 - THE BORNEO POST
The borneo post reported that, a declaration to build a coal railway network is signed today (12/07/2012) in front of the Indonesian Vice President ...
Sunday, 22 July 12
COAL PRICES IN MIXED TRENDS; STOCKS REMAIN HIGH AT BOTH ENDS
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for September 2012 delivery fell 0.99 percent on last Friday closing (d-o-d) and 1.19 percent com ...
Sunday, 22 July 12
TATA POWER SIGNS A LONG TERM COAL SUPPLY AGREEMENT WITH PT ANTANG GUNUNG MERATUS, INDONESIA
COALspot.com - Tata Power, India’s largest integrated power utility, last Friday announced that it has signed a long term coal suppl ...
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- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- PTC India Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Parliament of New Zealand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- The University of Queensland
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- White Energy Company Limited
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