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Monday, 26 March 12
WEEKLY DRY MARKET OVERVIEW - MARIA BERTZELETOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The Baltic Dry Index follows its upward incline for fourth consecutive week by rising to more than 900 points, up by 37% from the bottom low in the last 26 years of 662 points on February 2nd. Smaller vessel categories, supramax and panamax, are moving higher due to strong fixture activity in both the Atlantic and Pacific basins with capesizes being still under serious pain from hefty overtonnage and fragile Chinese iron ore import market sentiment. Overall, all vessel indices ended in green, apart from capesizes, with supramax and handysize units experiencing the sharpest gain, near to 9% in contrast with a 6.7% rise in the panamax and 6.6% fall in the capesize segment.
The first quarter of the year is about to end with capesize average time charter earnings falling below $5,000/day, while supramax vessels are earning more than $10,000/day and panamax are trading at almost the same levels with handysizes, more than $8,000/day. The BDI seems that will break the psyclological barrier of 1,000 points in the second quarter of the year as it regains strength from the firm demand for coal, grain and minor bulk cargoes. In terms of coal demand, the prospects are overwhelming for Chinese demand as China imported approximately 20.55 million tons of coal in February, 850,000 tons (4%) more than imported in January and an amazing 204% increase from February 2011 levels.
Capesize vessels seem that will suffer for a longer period of time as Chinese inventories remain hefty, despite their fall to 99,4 million tons, 500,000 tons less than a week ago. In addition, China’s government announcement for an economic growth of less than 8% in 2012 pours more uncertainty in the already volatile iron ore market for the massive buying power of the world’s largest iron ore consumer. BHP Billiton is predicting that the growth of seaborne iron trade will amount to little more than 4.4% over the course of this decade, nearly half the 8.4% growth figure achieved between 2000 and 2010.
One positive sign is that China’s daily crude steel output stood at 1,898 million tones for the first ten days of March, surging 13% from the preceding period, according to data from the China Iron & Steel Association. Steel demand has started to pick up in the world’s top consumer during March amid a gradual recovery in construction activity, but buyers remain wary about a slowdown in economic growth, which may continue to weigh on the steel sector. “Steel demand is warming up as more construction projects resume, but it is still weaker than the corresponding period of last year,” said a steel trader in Beijing.
Fears for the negative impact of last week’s tropical cyclone on the capesize segment have gone as shipping operations at the major Australia’s Port Hedland have now resumed. However, capesize vessels lost more ground this week with average time charter earrings falling to the lowest levels for over a year. The BCI has lost 97 points on a weekly basis by standing at 1,369 points, 6.6% down from previous week’s closing with vessels trading at levels of $$4,546/day, when last year were earning more than $10,000/day. Capesize spot rates on Australia to China have dropped to $7.45 per tonne, which shows a return of about $1,500/day for 180,000 dwt tons capesize vessel.
In the panamax segment, South American grain demand remains the key driver force, with BPI posting a 6.7% rise by gaining 65 points more than previous week and vessel earnings moving to more than $8,000/day. But, panamax earnings are still far below than last year’s levels, when there were more than $16,000/day, as they are facing the same headache with capesize vessels, the pain of oversupply.
Supramax and handysize units are on the spotlight as being the star performers from March 2nd by showing continuous weekly increases. The BSI ended at 1035 points last Friday, showing a 39% rise from the beginning of March with vessels earning more than $10,000/day, 35% lower than last year’s levels. The BHSI ended at 551 points, 26% up from the beginning of March with vessels earning more than $8,000/day, 29% less than last year.
Amid the volatile Chinese iron ore import market sentiment and the negative forecasts for a slow Chinese economic growth, Australia expects to produce record tonnages of iron ore through much of the decade, nearly all of which will be used to manufacture steel in demand. Australia iron ore exports are estimated to increase by more than 50 percent by 2016/17 compared with last year. Government data release anticipates still strong demand from Chinese steel mills, the biggest buyers. Exports will rise by an annual rate of around 11 percent to reach 767 m million tonnes in 2016/17, the Bureau of Resources and Energy Economics (BREE) predicted.
Rio Tinto, the world’s second largest iron ore producer, said that it plans to boost the output from its mines in Australia western Pilbara to 283 million tonnes per year by the second half of 2013, up from the current 225 million tonnes. David Joyce, managing director of expansion projects, said that although the rate of GDP growth in China is slowing, they remain confident on the basis of the figures that they have seen for a solid growth this year. A positive development for the fate of capesize operators is that Chinese steel demand has started to pick up amid a gradual recovery in construction activity.
Although the negative sentiment that currently persists in Chinese iron ore market, with worries for a long last recession in the world’s largest consumer country, big miners are betting on a soft landing for the world’s second biggest economy. It is believed that China’s import demand would continue to grow over the next several years, albeit at a slower pace, which should be enough reason for commodity producers to continue their expansion plans. “Nobody is saying that demand growth in China for iron ore is going to go away, just that growth rates will not be as high as they were,” said Mike Young, managing director of BC Iron, which relies on sales to China for all its revenue. Furthermore, recent investigations by Raw Materials Group revealed that global iron ore demand is set to double to around 3.5 billion tones per year by 2030, with Chinese appetite for the commodity continuing to drive the market, albeit at a slower pace than during the last decade.
Source: Maria Bertzeletou, Hellenic Shipping
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Monday, 27 February 12
WEEKLY DRY MARKET OVERVIEW - MARIA BERTZELETOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The pessimism in the dry market persists with the Baltic Dry Index still trying to find a steady pace of growth and average time charter earnings fo ...
Sunday, 26 February 12
THE FREIGHT RATES FOR INDONESIA TO INDIA IS LIKELY TO BE FIRM FOR NEXT 2/3 WEEKS - VISTAAR
COALspot.com – “There was not much change in the BDI and other indices this week except for the Panamax which was down by 11.91 pc ...
Friday, 24 February 12
DRY BULK MARKET POSTS FIRST REBOUND IN A WEEK - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
As was expected since mid-week, the dry bulk market's benchmark, the BDI (Baltic Dry Index) has managed to put a stop in a 6-day losing rally, endi ...
Thursday, 23 February 12
2.5 PANAMAX VESSELS PER AVAILABLE CARGO FOR MARCH DATES - FEARN BULK
Handy
Another depressing week for Supras in both basins. Lack of fresh business and over-supply of tonnage in the Atlantic pushed rates south. Cont ...
Wednesday, 22 February 12
RAW COMMODITY EXPORT BAN SPARKS SMELTER BUILDING BOOM IN INDONESIA ANTARA / THE JAKARTA GLOBE
Antara / The Jakarta Globe reported that, as the government gears up to ban all exports of unprocessed commodities, Indonesia will see 12 new ...
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Showing 4836 to 4840 news of total 6871 |
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- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Planning Commission, India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- PTC India Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- The University of Queensland
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
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