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Monday, 19 March 12
WEEKLY DRY MARKET OVERVIEW: SMALLER VESSELS LEAD RATES HIGHER - MARIA BERTZELETOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The upward trend of the Baltic Dry Index persists strong from the end of February, spurred from the supramax market that offsets the weakness in the capesize. The Baltic Exchange’s main index has shown an average weekly increase of 6.7% in March with constant gains for the last 16 days. It has moved near to 900 points by closing on Friday March 16th at 874 points, up by 6.07% on a weekly basis, and narrows the gap from the psychological barrier of 1,000 points. Capesize rates continue to be under pressure as spot fixture activity remains muted with average daily earnings standing below $5,500/day. The intense volatility in the iron market halts the solid performance of capesize vessels with panamaxes showing a firmer outlook on the back of a grain season in the Atlantic basin. Supramax vessels are outperforming among other vessel categories, from the beginning of March, with average daily earnings rising to more than $9,000/day.
Overall, all vessel categories experienced positive gains this week apart from capesizes with an euphoria in supramax and handysize vessels that leads the Baltic Dry Index at levels by 35% upwards from February 2nd, when it was at 648 points.
In the capesize segment, the BCI has lost another 37 points on a weekly basis by standing at 1,466 points, 2.46% down from previous week’s closing with vessel earnings below breakeven levels. Average time charter earnings for capesize vessels have fallen by 80% from the end of December 2011, when they were earning more than $27,000/day. An upcoming threat for capesize operators is the tropical cyclone Lua that is expected to cross the North West coast of Western Australia as a category four cyclone, disrupting mining operations and transport in the region.
Capesize spot rates on Australia to China are about $7.70 per tonne, down from about $7.90 per tonne last week, with capesizes halting their iron ore loadings at mining companies’ busiest ports. The Port Hedland iron ore terminal closed on Friday to escape the from Cyclone Lua, and miner Rio Tinto said operations were winding down at the two ports it uses, Dampier and Cape Lambert. The shutdown of Australia's major iron ore exporting port, Port Hedland, would be a negative factor for capesizes’ fixture activity and vessel earnings. Brazilian iron ore exports slumped 37% year on year in January as heavy rainfall disrupted production and demand in China eased.
In the panamax segment, a quiet Pacific market was rebalanced by modest improvements in cargoes from the Atlantic to Asia with vessel earnings moving to more than $7,700/day, but 50% lower from last year’s levels, when they were earning excess $16,000/day. The BPI closed on Friday at 971 points, up by 9.22% from last week with positive prospects for grain and thermal coal fixtures activity that will maintain the healthiest performance of smaller vessel segments against capesizes.
In the supramax market, vessels, which carry about 25 percent less than panamaxes, seem to have a better outlook in the heavy oversupplied dry bulk industry. Average time charter earnings for supramax vessels have shown a strong revival over the last three weeks with earnings more than $9,000/day, when at the end of January they were earning less than $7,000/day. Handysize units also follow with earnings more than $7,500/day, at similar levels with panamax earnings. The BSI closed at 951, up by 10.07% on a weekly basis, compared with a 9% and 8% rise in the panamax and handysize segment respectively.
The strong outlook of the supramax and handysize segment seems that will lift the BDI above the 1,000 points mark, but the outlook of dry bulk earnings is still negative as China cut its growth target last week. The fragile economic outlook of China signals an era of a weaker Chinese demand for iron ore, the world’s biggest buyer of the commodity and the main driver of the positive incline of the BDI.
Chinese iron ore inventories persist at hefty levels, near to 100 million tons, with iron ore import market sentiment showing signs of a slower growth at least till 2015. The government is aiming to boost the volume of imports to be sourced from Chinese invested mines abroad, by another 100m tonnes / year, to reduce the heavy reliance of the country on imports from Australia and Brazil. Moody’s Investors Service has warned that China’s growth in steel demand will slow sharply to 5.7% this year, almost half of the average 11.1% growth during the previous three years. Furthermore, the China Iron and Steel Association has halved its growth estimate for the steel industry from 8% last year to just 4% in 2012.
The dry bulk shipping industry is almost undeniable that will continue to be under serious strains for at least two years that will downsize the financial performance of dry bulk shipping players. According to Standard & Poor’s the dry bulk shipping sector will face the heaviest oversupply pressures over the next 12 to 18 months, compared with oil tanker and container market, and shipping firms will face tighter financing as banks cut their exposure to risky and dollar denominated assets.
Source: Maria Bertzeletou, Hellenic Shipping
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Thursday, 08 March 12
INDONESIA'S COAL SECTOR CAN BENEFIT FROM CLEARER REGULATIONS - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch Ratings says Indonesia's coal mining sector should continue to see strong growth prospects but can benefit from clearer and more predictable ...
Thursday, 08 March 12
DRY BULK MARKET ON THE RISE; CHINAS COAL IMPORTS COULD INCREASE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market kept on rising back to healthier levels yesterday, with the BDI (Baltic Dry Index) the industry’s benchmark, marking its 8 ...
Wednesday, 07 March 12
INDONESIA COAL BENCHMARK PRICE GAINS FOR SECOND MONTH
COALspot.com - Indonesia raised the monthly coal reference price for sales in March by 1.15 percent, the second increase since February.
The Mini ...
Wednesday, 07 March 12
INDONESIA TO LIMIT FOREIGN OWNERSHIP IN MINES TO 49 PERCENT WITHIN 10 YEARS OF PRODUCTION
COALspot.com - Foreign holders of mining licenses in Indonesia have to divert 51% of their stakes to Indonesian government or domestic entitie ...
Wednesday, 07 March 12
ASSESS ASIAS POTENTIAL, DEVELOPMENTS AND APPETITE FOR SHALE AT SHALE GAS SUMMIT
Press Release - Assess Asia’s Potential, Developments and Appetite for Shale at Shale Gas Summit on 23-24 Apr, 2012 in Beijing
China is rep ...
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- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- PTC India Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
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