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Monday, 20 February 12
WEEKLY DRY MARKET OVERVIEW - MARIA BERTZELETOU
The dry market experienced one more disappointing week with tonnage oversupply and limited cargo demand that pushes earnings for shipping players to levels near or below operating expenses. The Baltic Dry Index closed at 717 points on Friday of February 17th, gaining only two points more than the previous week’s closing and it is now standing 55 points above from the historical low level in the last 26 years of 662 points on February 1st. The dry market normally shows a plunge at the beginning of every year as Chinese festivities bring a lull in iron ore buying activity with the BDI finding its pace upon the return from holidays. However, the index now seems that struggles to keep a steady pace of growth since it is still below the psychological barrier of 1,000 points and it is unquestionable if would surpass this level till the end of February. Following its positive upward movement in the previous week by gaining 68 points more on a weekly basis and panamaxes being the best performers, the sentiment is again distrustful with capesize earnings being extremely flat and handysizes showing a stronger resilience this week.
The BHSI showed a 3.5% week-on-week increase in contrast with a 1.8% week-on-week fall in the BPI from its 39.5% remarkable increase in the week ending February 10th. Overall, the BDI showed a minimal rise of 0.2% on a weekly basis by falling for the last three consecutive days of the week and ending to loose 12 points from the high of 729 points at the beginning of the week. Average time charter earnings for all vessel sizes are still floating at low levels, below $10,000/day, with increased worries for a prompt revival before the end of the first quarter of the year. Panamax and supramax vessels seem to have a better outlook to break the barrier of $10,000/day by earning ground from a strong Chinese coal demand, while capesizes may suffer for a longer period of time since the Chinese iron ore buying appetite, the main driver for healthier capesize earnings, is still fragile.
For large size vessels, capesizes, the market was extremely flat with the BCI gaining only 4 points more at the end of the week by closing at 1461 points, up by 0.27% on a weekly basis. The Atlantic market remains particular inactive despite some iron ore activity from Western Australia. W Australia/Qingdao rates is said to have improved only slightly, to $7,70/tonne, compared to $7,60/tonne last week. In the panamax market, the week opened with a degree of optimism with the index surpassing the 1,000 points mark level, but by the end of the week it fell to 949 points, loosing 18 points, down 1.86% from previous week’s closing.
The week ended also negative for supramax owners with a retreat of decline in Atlantic supramax rates and a rise in Pacific from record lows. Owners with tonnage in the European side found almost impossible to consider the ballast option at the prevailing freight rates and bunkering expenses, while owners in the East with tonnage seem to have better chance with rates covering operating expenses. Some reasonable mineral business from Indonesia gave a substance in the segment with the BSI loosing only 4 points from previous week’s closing and ending at 641 points, down by 0.6% week-on-week basis.
The current status of China’s steel market and the high levels of iron ore inventories do not currently support massive iron ore imports enough to lift the BDI above 1,000 points and capesize earnings at the levels of more than $10,000 day.
According to Data from the General Administration of Customs, imports by China, the world’s biggest buyer of the steel making ingredient, fell 7.4% to 59,32 million tons in January from a month earlier due to the Lunar New Year holiday. Even January gives a distorted picture for Chinese buying sentiment due to National Festivities; China’s steel market remains sluggish. The China Iron and Steel Association reported that daily crude steel production averaged 1,67 million tons from January 21 to January 31. This is similar with the average daily production that occurred during January 11 to January 20, but is down significantly from last year’s record of 2,02 mt average daily production that occurred during June 21 to June 30.
Furthermore, Chinese iron ore inventories reached the alarming level of nearly 100 million mt by the beginning of February and fell to 99.97 million tons by February 13th, but it is still hefty and indicates the slump in demand for steel production in China. Due to lower demand as a result of the slowing economy and tight liquidity, steel prices have been plunging since last October, leaving steel mills with marginal profits or making losses. Major mill Angang Steel, for instance, announced a net loss of some 2.2 billion yuan for 2011 due to rising raw material costs. CISA Chairman Zhu Jimin said that the possibility of losses and meager profits for steel mills is likely to increase this year as increased costs, falling demand and financing difficulties will continue to distress the steel industry.
The hefty amount of Chinese inventories and the lower from the biggest consumer China have plunged the iron ore price last week in the lowest level since October. Ore with 62 percent content at the Chinese port of Tianjin fell 1.6 percent to $137.40 per metric ton on Thursday 16th, data from The Steel Index showed. Vale S.A., the world’s second largest miner by volume, reported a 20% fall in its net profit for the fourth quarter of last year by recording $4,67 billion compared with a $5,92 billion a year earlier, citing as primary reason the decline in the iron ore price. Vale reported quarterly sales of $14,8 billion from reduced iron ore prices and the debt crisis that caused European shipments to slump. Credit Suisse predicted in a report that tighter market conditions would continue in 2012 with iron ore prices expected to be weaker. The report stated Brazilian iron ore miners will face lower year-on-year results due to lack of volume growth and 10% lower year on year average price.
However, Australia’s mega iron ore producers are planning to boost production amid current slow Chinese steel demand. Australia supplies about 43 percent of China's iron ore imports, with most coming from BHP, Rio and Fortescue. According to Bank of America-Merrill Lynch forecasts, China's steel demand is expected to grow 6 percent in 2012 and 5.8 percent in 2013, down from the stunning 12.8 percent compound annual growth during 2008-11.
BHP Billiton Ltd., the biggest mining company, said Feb. 12 a price decline probably won’t affect plans to spend $80 billion over the next five years to boost output along with copper and coal. “The Chinese have been buying well in advance,” said Gavin Wendt, founder and senior resource analyst at Mine Life Pty in Sydney. “They like to buy these commodities when the price is low and buy it in significant volumes, essentially more than what they need and stockpile it”.
Fortescue Metals Group is under a construction program to nearly triple production to 155 million tonnes in a year after securing funding last October. Fortescue Metals Group expects iron ore prices will remain around $US140 ($A131.48) per tonne in the short-to-medium term as Chinese demand remains strong but little new supply comes onto the market.Rio Tinto also assigned $3.4 billion to expand iron ore mining in Australia, and expects its iron ore production in Australia to reach 230 million tonnes by the end of this quarter and 283 million by the end of calendar 2013.
The recent downturn of the dry market stemming mainly from slow Chinese demand does not hamper major iron ore producers that still see future in China’s buying power that could lead steel market and vessels earnings at higher levels. The question now is how the freight markets will response to a revamping of Chinese iron ore consuming at the current oversupply tonnage.
Source: Maria Bertzeletou Hellenic Shipping
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Wednesday, 14 December 11
MINER TOBA BARA SEJAHTRA PLANS IPO IN 1ST HALF OF 2012 - THE JAKARTA GLOBE
The Jakarta Globe reported that, Coal miner Toba Bara Sejahtra is aiming high next year, hoping to capitalize on renewed bullish sentiment in the lo ...
Wednesday, 14 December 11
TIMAH PLANS TO BOOST ITS COAL PRODUCTION TO TWO MILLION TONS PER ANNUM - SOURCES
COALspot.com - Timah plans to boost its coal production to two million tons per annum. The company also expects to acquire coal concession with mini ...
Wednesday, 14 December 11
BORNEO RESOURCE INVESTMENTS LTD. FINALIZES ACQUISITION OF INTEGRA PRIMA
COALspot.com - Borneo Resource Investments Ltd., announced that it has finalized the acquisition of an additional 1,300 hectare coal mining concessi ...
Tuesday, 13 December 11
BERAU COAL SCOUTS US$1.61 BIO SALES - INSIDER STORIES
Insider Stories reported that, coal mining company PT Berau Coal Energy Tbk (BRAU), that is 85% owned by London-listed company Bumi Plc, estimates a ...
Tuesday, 13 December 11
CAPESIZES AND PANAMAXES LEAD DRY BULK MARKET HIGHER - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market inched closer to the 2,000 mark on Monday, with Panamaxes rebounding firmly and leading the gains. As a result, the industry&rsq ...
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- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- PTC India Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- White Energy Company Limited
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Parliament of New Zealand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
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