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Monday, 20 February 12
WEEKLY DRY MARKET OVERVIEW - MARIA BERTZELETOU
 The dry market experienced one more disappointing week with tonnage oversupply and limited cargo demand that pushes earnings for shipping players to levels near or below operating expenses. The Baltic Dry Index closed at 717 points on Friday of February 17th, gaining only two points more than the previous week’s closing and it is now standing 55 points above from the historical low level in the last 26 years of 662 points on February 1st. The dry market normally shows a plunge at the beginning of every year as Chinese festivities bring a lull in iron ore buying activity with the BDI finding its pace upon the return from holidays. However, the index now seems that struggles to keep a steady pace of growth since it is still below the psychological barrier of 1,000 points and it is unquestionable if would surpass this level till the end of February. Following its positive upward movement in the previous week by gaining 68 points more on a weekly basis and panamaxes being the best performers, the sentiment is again distrustful with capesize earnings being extremely flat and handysizes showing a stronger resilience this week.
The BHSI showed a 3.5% week-on-week increase in contrast with a 1.8% week-on-week fall in the BPI from its 39.5% remarkable increase in the week ending February 10th. Overall, the BDI showed a minimal rise of 0.2% on a weekly basis by falling for the last three consecutive days of the week and ending to loose 12 points from the high of 729 points at the beginning of the week. Average time charter earnings for all vessel sizes are still floating at low levels, below $10,000/day, with increased worries for a prompt revival before the end of the first quarter of the year. Panamax and supramax vessels seem to have a better outlook to break the barrier of $10,000/day by earning ground from a strong Chinese coal demand, while capesizes may suffer for a longer period of time since the Chinese iron ore buying appetite, the main driver for healthier capesize earnings, is still fragile.
For large size vessels, capesizes, the market was extremely flat with the BCI gaining only 4 points more at the end of the week by closing at 1461 points, up by 0.27% on a weekly basis. The Atlantic market remains particular inactive despite some iron ore activity from Western Australia. W Australia/Qingdao rates is said to have improved only slightly, to $7,70/tonne, compared to $7,60/tonne last week. In the panamax market, the week opened with a degree of optimism with the index surpassing the 1,000 points mark level, but by the end of the week it fell to 949 points, loosing 18 points, down 1.86% from previous week’s closing.
The week ended also negative for supramax owners with a retreat of decline in Atlantic supramax rates and a rise in Pacific from record lows. Owners with tonnage in the European side found almost impossible to consider the ballast option at the prevailing freight rates and bunkering expenses, while owners in the East with tonnage seem to have better chance with rates covering operating expenses. Some reasonable mineral business from Indonesia gave a substance in the segment with the BSI loosing only 4 points from previous week’s closing and ending at 641 points, down by 0.6% week-on-week basis.
The current status of China’s steel market and the high levels of iron ore inventories do not currently support massive iron ore imports enough to lift the BDI above 1,000 points and capesize earnings at the levels of more than $10,000 day.
According to Data from the General Administration of Customs, imports by China, the world’s biggest buyer of the steel making ingredient, fell 7.4% to 59,32 million tons in January from a month earlier due to the Lunar New Year holiday. Even January gives a distorted picture for Chinese buying sentiment due to National Festivities; China’s steel market remains sluggish. The China Iron and Steel Association reported that daily crude steel production averaged 1,67 million tons from January 21 to January 31. This is similar with the average daily production that occurred during January 11 to January 20, but is down significantly from last year’s record of 2,02 mt average daily production that occurred during June 21 to June 30.
Furthermore, Chinese iron ore inventories reached the alarming level of nearly 100 million mt by the beginning of February and fell to 99.97 million tons by February 13th, but it is still hefty and indicates the slump in demand for steel production in China. Due to lower demand as a result of the slowing economy and tight liquidity, steel prices have been plunging since last October, leaving steel mills with marginal profits or making losses. Major mill Angang Steel, for instance, announced a net loss of some 2.2 billion yuan for 2011 due to rising raw material costs. CISA Chairman Zhu Jimin said that the possibility of losses and meager profits for steel mills is likely to increase this year as increased costs, falling demand and financing difficulties will continue to distress the steel industry.
The hefty amount of Chinese inventories and the lower from the biggest consumer China have plunged the iron ore price last week in the lowest level since October. Ore with 62 percent content at the Chinese port of Tianjin fell 1.6 percent to $137.40 per metric ton on Thursday 16th, data from The Steel Index showed. Vale S.A., the world’s second largest miner by volume, reported a 20% fall in its net profit for the fourth quarter of last year by recording $4,67 billion compared with a $5,92 billion a year earlier, citing as primary reason the decline in the iron ore price. Vale reported quarterly sales of $14,8 billion from reduced iron ore prices and the debt crisis that caused European shipments to slump. Credit Suisse predicted in a report that tighter market conditions would continue in 2012 with iron ore prices expected to be weaker. The report stated Brazilian iron ore miners will face lower year-on-year results due to lack of volume growth and 10% lower year on year average price.
However, Australia’s mega iron ore producers are planning to boost production amid current slow Chinese steel demand. Australia supplies about 43 percent of China's iron ore imports, with most coming from BHP, Rio and Fortescue. According to Bank of America-Merrill Lynch forecasts, China's steel demand is expected to grow 6 percent in 2012 and 5.8 percent in 2013, down from the stunning 12.8 percent compound annual growth during 2008-11.
BHP Billiton Ltd., the biggest mining company, said Feb. 12 a price decline probably won’t affect plans to spend $80 billion over the next five years to boost output along with copper and coal. “The Chinese have been buying well in advance,” said Gavin Wendt, founder and senior resource analyst at Mine Life Pty in Sydney. “They like to buy these commodities when the price is low and buy it in significant volumes, essentially more than what they need and stockpile it”.
Fortescue Metals Group is under a construction program to nearly triple production to 155 million tonnes in a year after securing funding last October. Fortescue Metals Group expects iron ore prices will remain around $US140 ($A131.48) per tonne in the short-to-medium term as Chinese demand remains strong but little new supply comes onto the market.Rio Tinto also assigned $3.4 billion to expand iron ore mining in Australia, and expects its iron ore production in Australia to reach 230 million tonnes by the end of this quarter and 283 million by the end of calendar 2013.
The recent downturn of the dry market stemming mainly from slow Chinese demand does not hamper major iron ore producers that still see future in China’s buying power that could lead steel market and vessels earnings at higher levels. The question now is how the freight markets will response to a revamping of Chinese iron ore consuming at the current oversupply tonnage.
Source: Maria Bertzeletou Hellenic Shipping
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Friday, 09 March 12
SHIP OWNERS LOOKING TO CHINA FOR REVIVAL, WHILE THEY KEEP SELLING OLD SHIPS FOR SCRAP - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
With China’s economic policy plan for the future on every ship owner’s mind, at least those involved in the dry bulk industry, the lates ...
Thursday, 08 March 12
INDONESIA'S COAL SECTOR CAN BENEFIT FROM CLEARER REGULATIONS - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch Ratings says Indonesia's coal mining sector should continue to see strong growth prospects but can benefit from clearer and more predictable ...
Thursday, 08 March 12
DRY BULK MARKET ON THE RISE; CHINAS COAL IMPORTS COULD INCREASE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market kept on rising back to healthier levels yesterday, with the BDI (Baltic Dry Index) the industry’s benchmark, marking its 8 ...
Wednesday, 07 March 12
INDONESIA COAL BENCHMARK PRICE GAINS FOR SECOND MONTH
COALspot.com - Indonesia raised the monthly coal reference price for sales in March by 1.15 percent, the second increase since February.
The Mini ...
Wednesday, 07 March 12
INDONESIA TO LIMIT FOREIGN OWNERSHIP IN MINES TO 49 PERCENT WITHIN 10 YEARS OF PRODUCTION
COALspot.com - Foreign holders of mining licenses in Indonesia have to divert 51% of their stakes to Indonesian government or domestic entitie ...
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Showing 4816 to 4820 news of total 6871 |
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- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- PTC India Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- The University of Queensland
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Australian Coal Association
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
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