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Monday, 20 February 12
WEEKLY DRY MARKET OVERVIEW - MARIA BERTZELETOU
The dry market experienced one more disappointing week with tonnage oversupply and limited cargo demand that pushes earnings for shipping players to levels near or below operating expenses. The Baltic Dry Index closed at 717 points on Friday of February 17th, gaining only two points more than the previous week’s closing and it is now standing 55 points above from the historical low level in the last 26 years of 662 points on February 1st. The dry market normally shows a plunge at the beginning of every year as Chinese festivities bring a lull in iron ore buying activity with the BDI finding its pace upon the return from holidays. However, the index now seems that struggles to keep a steady pace of growth since it is still below the psychological barrier of 1,000 points and it is unquestionable if would surpass this level till the end of February. Following its positive upward movement in the previous week by gaining 68 points more on a weekly basis and panamaxes being the best performers, the sentiment is again distrustful with capesize earnings being extremely flat and handysizes showing a stronger resilience this week.
The BHSI showed a 3.5% week-on-week increase in contrast with a 1.8% week-on-week fall in the BPI from its 39.5% remarkable increase in the week ending February 10th. Overall, the BDI showed a minimal rise of 0.2% on a weekly basis by falling for the last three consecutive days of the week and ending to loose 12 points from the high of 729 points at the beginning of the week. Average time charter earnings for all vessel sizes are still floating at low levels, below $10,000/day, with increased worries for a prompt revival before the end of the first quarter of the year. Panamax and supramax vessels seem to have a better outlook to break the barrier of $10,000/day by earning ground from a strong Chinese coal demand, while capesizes may suffer for a longer period of time since the Chinese iron ore buying appetite, the main driver for healthier capesize earnings, is still fragile.
For large size vessels, capesizes, the market was extremely flat with the BCI gaining only 4 points more at the end of the week by closing at 1461 points, up by 0.27% on a weekly basis. The Atlantic market remains particular inactive despite some iron ore activity from Western Australia. W Australia/Qingdao rates is said to have improved only slightly, to $7,70/tonne, compared to $7,60/tonne last week. In the panamax market, the week opened with a degree of optimism with the index surpassing the 1,000 points mark level, but by the end of the week it fell to 949 points, loosing 18 points, down 1.86% from previous week’s closing.
The week ended also negative for supramax owners with a retreat of decline in Atlantic supramax rates and a rise in Pacific from record lows. Owners with tonnage in the European side found almost impossible to consider the ballast option at the prevailing freight rates and bunkering expenses, while owners in the East with tonnage seem to have better chance with rates covering operating expenses. Some reasonable mineral business from Indonesia gave a substance in the segment with the BSI loosing only 4 points from previous week’s closing and ending at 641 points, down by 0.6% week-on-week basis.
The current status of China’s steel market and the high levels of iron ore inventories do not currently support massive iron ore imports enough to lift the BDI above 1,000 points and capesize earnings at the levels of more than $10,000 day.
According to Data from the General Administration of Customs, imports by China, the world’s biggest buyer of the steel making ingredient, fell 7.4% to 59,32 million tons in January from a month earlier due to the Lunar New Year holiday. Even January gives a distorted picture for Chinese buying sentiment due to National Festivities; China’s steel market remains sluggish. The China Iron and Steel Association reported that daily crude steel production averaged 1,67 million tons from January 21 to January 31. This is similar with the average daily production that occurred during January 11 to January 20, but is down significantly from last year’s record of 2,02 mt average daily production that occurred during June 21 to June 30.
Furthermore, Chinese iron ore inventories reached the alarming level of nearly 100 million mt by the beginning of February and fell to 99.97 million tons by February 13th, but it is still hefty and indicates the slump in demand for steel production in China. Due to lower demand as a result of the slowing economy and tight liquidity, steel prices have been plunging since last October, leaving steel mills with marginal profits or making losses. Major mill Angang Steel, for instance, announced a net loss of some 2.2 billion yuan for 2011 due to rising raw material costs. CISA Chairman Zhu Jimin said that the possibility of losses and meager profits for steel mills is likely to increase this year as increased costs, falling demand and financing difficulties will continue to distress the steel industry.
The hefty amount of Chinese inventories and the lower from the biggest consumer China have plunged the iron ore price last week in the lowest level since October. Ore with 62 percent content at the Chinese port of Tianjin fell 1.6 percent to $137.40 per metric ton on Thursday 16th, data from The Steel Index showed. Vale S.A., the world’s second largest miner by volume, reported a 20% fall in its net profit for the fourth quarter of last year by recording $4,67 billion compared with a $5,92 billion a year earlier, citing as primary reason the decline in the iron ore price. Vale reported quarterly sales of $14,8 billion from reduced iron ore prices and the debt crisis that caused European shipments to slump. Credit Suisse predicted in a report that tighter market conditions would continue in 2012 with iron ore prices expected to be weaker. The report stated Brazilian iron ore miners will face lower year-on-year results due to lack of volume growth and 10% lower year on year average price.
However, Australia’s mega iron ore producers are planning to boost production amid current slow Chinese steel demand. Australia supplies about 43 percent of China's iron ore imports, with most coming from BHP, Rio and Fortescue. According to Bank of America-Merrill Lynch forecasts, China's steel demand is expected to grow 6 percent in 2012 and 5.8 percent in 2013, down from the stunning 12.8 percent compound annual growth during 2008-11.
BHP Billiton Ltd., the biggest mining company, said Feb. 12 a price decline probably won’t affect plans to spend $80 billion over the next five years to boost output along with copper and coal. “The Chinese have been buying well in advance,” said Gavin Wendt, founder and senior resource analyst at Mine Life Pty in Sydney. “They like to buy these commodities when the price is low and buy it in significant volumes, essentially more than what they need and stockpile it”.
Fortescue Metals Group is under a construction program to nearly triple production to 155 million tonnes in a year after securing funding last October. Fortescue Metals Group expects iron ore prices will remain around $US140 ($A131.48) per tonne in the short-to-medium term as Chinese demand remains strong but little new supply comes onto the market.Rio Tinto also assigned $3.4 billion to expand iron ore mining in Australia, and expects its iron ore production in Australia to reach 230 million tonnes by the end of this quarter and 283 million by the end of calendar 2013.
The recent downturn of the dry market stemming mainly from slow Chinese demand does not hamper major iron ore producers that still see future in China’s buying power that could lead steel market and vessels earnings at higher levels. The question now is how the freight markets will response to a revamping of Chinese iron ore consuming at the current oversupply tonnage.
Source: Maria Bertzeletou Hellenic Shipping
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Sunday, 09 October 11
FREIGHT MARKET ENDED WITH A POSITIVE DIRECTION - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The market ended with a positive note with all the segments up except for handy size. The biggest gainer was Panamax index up by 11 p ...
Saturday, 08 October 11
INDONESIAN MINER PLANS $167M IPO TO FUEL SUMATRA COAL BOOM - JG
The Jakarta Globe reported that, coal miner Atlas Resources aims to raise as much as Rp 1.5 trillion ($167 million) in an initial public offering to ...
Friday, 07 October 11
MINING REGULATIONS , OBSTACLES AND GROWTH : INDIA VS INDONESIA - SUNIL K KUMBHAT
COALspot.com - The Govt of India has passed long pending Mines & Minerals (Regulation and Development) Bill, 2011, which seeks to replace ...
Friday, 07 October 11
$100M FOR EXPANSION INTO KALIMANTAN MINING: AKR
The Jakarta Globe, one of the leading English news paper in Indonesia reported that, AKR Corporindo, a fuel and chemical distributor, has set aside ...
Thursday, 06 October 11
REALM SECURES 51% OF KATINGAN RIA COAL PROJECT IN CENTRAL KALIMANTAN
•Realm secures 51% of PT Katingan Ria Thermal Coal Project in Central Kalimantan
•Realm takes ownership of Kalres Limited
•Acquisit ...
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- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- The University of Queensland
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
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