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Monday, 13 February 12
WEEKLY DRY MARKET OVERVIEW - MARIA BERTZELETOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The current sentiment in the dry market resembles memories from the end of 2008, when the Baltic Dry Index closed at the level of 663 points on December 5th, 2008 .The first day of February commenced with the BDI closing at 662 points, the lowest level that the market has seen in the last 26 years and ongoing fears for the operational profitability of dry bulk players for the year ahead. During the last week, the BDI showed an upward trend by gaining for four consecutive days more than 10 points, but it is still trading below the psychological barrier of 1,000 points mark. Overall, the BDI closed on Friday of February 10th at 715 points, up by 10.5% from last week’s closing, with the panamax size outperforming over other vessel categories. All vessel sizes apart from handysizes showed upward movements from the trading bottom lows that hit shipping operators during the last days of January. The BPI showed a remarkable 39.5% week-on-week increase in contrast with a 4.1% week-on-week fall in the BHSI.
For large size vessels, capesizes, conditions remain very weak with the market needing more cargo input to absorb the oversupply headache. The Baltic Capesize Index remained almost stable, up by 1% week-on-week, by gaining 21 points from previous week, by closing at 1457 points with activity in the Atlantic market being slow from very limited cargo demand, while interest from Brazil to China is scarce. The heavy weather in the ports of Australia and Brazil, the main iron ore producers, along with the Chinese ban on the entrance of Vale’s mega very large ore capes into Chinese ports have created more downward pressure in the already fragile market given the slow Chinese steel activity during Chinese New Year.
The panamax market seems to be the first one that has shown strong signs of recovery from the end of Chinese holidays with the sentiment being improved for Atlantic traders and a flurry of period activity from firm South American demand. The BPI closed at 967 points, up 274 points, recording a remarkable increase from previous week and showing healthier average time charter earnings. For supramax vessels, condition in the Atlantic market is still in the doldrums with some improvement reported in the Pacific market. The BSI showed a better performance than capesizes by moving 6% higher than previous week and hopes for a firmer rebound in the following days. The BHSI lost 16 points by recording a 4% week-on-week decline as it seems that the large percentage of overaged vessels in this category has started to stress the market significantly and more intense scrapping activity is needed.
Will the BDI continue its upward movement? Will capesizes find a firmer support? The iron ore demand and China’s economic activity are the two key factors for the revival of dry operators.
BHP Billiton, the world's no. 3 iron ore miner, said in Reuters that fundamentals for iron ore demand remain strong, with Chinese steel making expected to pick up following the lunar New Year and with Indian iron ore supplies lagging expectations. Furthermore, Anglo American’s Kumba Iron Ore CEO Chris Griffith said that global iron ore demand is likely to improve over the medium-to-long term. Global demand for iron-ore would remain dependent on steel manufacturing in China, which accounted for more than two-thirds of demand, but which had had a relatively subdued second half during 2011. The JSE-listed miner held a positive view on the market from the second half of 2012. But over the first six months of 2012, the iron-ore market was expected to maintain its current market conditions. Zhu Hongreng, Chief Engineer of Ministry of industry and Information Technology of PRC, pointed out that China steel industry is to encounter tougher challenging in 2012 due to heightened unbalance between supply and demand arising from dwindling demand and further squeezed profit margin of domestic steel mills on rising iron ore prices.
However, the economic activity of China gives weak signs and brings some uncertainty regarding the Chinese import and export market sentiment. According to Custom’s Administration, China’s exports is estimated that dipped by 0.5% from a year earlier, the first decline in more than two years, raising fresh concerns about the impact of a global slowdown on its economy. Imports fell by 15.3%, resulting in a trade surplus of $27.3bn (£17bn) which was a six-month high. Analysts said while the closure of establishments during the Chinese New Year affected the numbers, the decline could not be attributed to the festival alone.They said that the bigger-than-expected drop, especially in imports, was worrying as it gave an indication of slowing growth. A fall of over 15% in January cannot be entirely explained by the lunar calendar, and adds weight to the view that economic output is slower than headline indicators might suggest
The China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing reported that the import index for January fell to 46.9 from 49.3 in the previous month, showing slowing demand at home. Despite these numbers, analysts said the dip was likely to be short-lived and imports may start to rise in the coming months.
Even the latest statistics data reveal a strong impact of the debt crisis on China’s trading activity; we will wait to see what the first quarter of the year will bring since January data usually give a distorted picture.
Source: Maria Bertzeletou, Hellenic Shipping
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Friday, 10 February 12
TONNAGE KEEPS ON COMING - DREWRY
Drewry Maritime Research’s latest edition of its Dry Bulk Forecaster pulls no punches in its assessment of a market that looks certain to cont ...
Friday, 10 February 12
GIVE PERMIT POWERS TO GOVERNORS: MINERS - THE JAKARTA POST
The Jakarta Post reported that, following clashes between mining companies and local residents, the Indonesian Mining Association (IMA) wants to tra ...
Thursday, 09 February 12
AUSTRALIA'S EPIC TO ACQUIRE 15,500 HA COAL EXPLORATION LICENCES IN EAST KALIMANTAN, INDONESIA
COALspot.com - Epic Resources Limited to acquire two coal concessions in Kutai Barat regency, East Kalimantan, Indonesia.
According to company's ...
Thursday, 09 February 12
RESOURCE ALAM BUYS 28,521HA CONCESSIONS - INSIDER STORIES
Insider Stories reported that, PT Resource Alam Indonesia Tbk (KKGI), owned by Adijanto family, today announced acquisition of 75% interest in PT Ka ...
Tuesday, 07 February 12
DRY BULK MARKET FINALLY STOPS DECLINE, POSTS FIRST RISE IN MORE THAN A MONTH - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
After falling to near record lows, not seen since the mid-80s the dry bulk market has finally stopped its path to "hell", with the industr ...
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- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Australian Coal Association
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- VISA Power Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Planning Commission, India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
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