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Monday, 13 February 12
WEEKLY DRY MARKET OVERVIEW - MARIA BERTZELETOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The current sentiment in the dry market resembles memories from the end of 2008, when the Baltic Dry Index closed at the level of 663 points on December 5th, 2008 .The first day of February commenced with the BDI closing at 662 points, the lowest level that the market has seen in the last 26 years and ongoing fears for the operational profitability of dry bulk players for the year ahead. During the last week, the BDI showed an upward trend by gaining for four consecutive days more than 10 points, but it is still trading below the psychological barrier of 1,000 points mark. Overall, the BDI closed on Friday of February 10th at 715 points, up by 10.5% from last week’s closing, with the panamax size outperforming over other vessel categories. All vessel sizes apart from handysizes showed upward movements from the trading bottom lows that hit shipping operators during the last days of January. The BPI showed a remarkable 39.5% week-on-week increase in contrast with a 4.1% week-on-week fall in the BHSI.
For large size vessels, capesizes, conditions remain very weak with the market needing more cargo input to absorb the oversupply headache. The Baltic Capesize Index remained almost stable, up by 1% week-on-week, by gaining 21 points from previous week, by closing at 1457 points with activity in the Atlantic market being slow from very limited cargo demand, while interest from Brazil to China is scarce. The heavy weather in the ports of Australia and Brazil, the main iron ore producers, along with the Chinese ban on the entrance of Vale’s mega very large ore capes into Chinese ports have created more downward pressure in the already fragile market given the slow Chinese steel activity during Chinese New Year.
The panamax market seems to be the first one that has shown strong signs of recovery from the end of Chinese holidays with the sentiment being improved for Atlantic traders and a flurry of period activity from firm South American demand. The BPI closed at 967 points, up 274 points, recording a remarkable increase from previous week and showing healthier average time charter earnings. For supramax vessels, condition in the Atlantic market is still in the doldrums with some improvement reported in the Pacific market. The BSI showed a better performance than capesizes by moving 6% higher than previous week and hopes for a firmer rebound in the following days. The BHSI lost 16 points by recording a 4% week-on-week decline as it seems that the large percentage of overaged vessels in this category has started to stress the market significantly and more intense scrapping activity is needed.
Will the BDI continue its upward movement? Will capesizes find a firmer support? The iron ore demand and China’s economic activity are the two key factors for the revival of dry operators.
BHP Billiton, the world's no. 3 iron ore miner, said in Reuters that fundamentals for iron ore demand remain strong, with Chinese steel making expected to pick up following the lunar New Year and with Indian iron ore supplies lagging expectations. Furthermore, Anglo American’s Kumba Iron Ore CEO Chris Griffith said that global iron ore demand is likely to improve over the medium-to-long term. Global demand for iron-ore would remain dependent on steel manufacturing in China, which accounted for more than two-thirds of demand, but which had had a relatively subdued second half during 2011. The JSE-listed miner held a positive view on the market from the second half of 2012. But over the first six months of 2012, the iron-ore market was expected to maintain its current market conditions. Zhu Hongreng, Chief Engineer of Ministry of industry and Information Technology of PRC, pointed out that China steel industry is to encounter tougher challenging in 2012 due to heightened unbalance between supply and demand arising from dwindling demand and further squeezed profit margin of domestic steel mills on rising iron ore prices.
However, the economic activity of China gives weak signs and brings some uncertainty regarding the Chinese import and export market sentiment. According to Custom’s Administration, China’s exports is estimated that dipped by 0.5% from a year earlier, the first decline in more than two years, raising fresh concerns about the impact of a global slowdown on its economy. Imports fell by 15.3%, resulting in a trade surplus of $27.3bn (£17bn) which was a six-month high. Analysts said while the closure of establishments during the Chinese New Year affected the numbers, the decline could not be attributed to the festival alone.They said that the bigger-than-expected drop, especially in imports, was worrying as it gave an indication of slowing growth. A fall of over 15% in January cannot be entirely explained by the lunar calendar, and adds weight to the view that economic output is slower than headline indicators might suggest
The China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing reported that the import index for January fell to 46.9 from 49.3 in the previous month, showing slowing demand at home. Despite these numbers, analysts said the dip was likely to be short-lived and imports may start to rise in the coming months.
Even the latest statistics data reveal a strong impact of the debt crisis on China’s trading activity; we will wait to see what the first quarter of the year will bring since January data usually give a distorted picture.
Source: Maria Bertzeletou, Hellenic Shipping
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Wednesday, 07 March 12
ASSESS ASIAS POTENTIAL, DEVELOPMENTS AND APPETITE FOR SHALE AT SHALE GAS SUMMIT
Press Release - Assess Asia’s Potential, Developments and Appetite for Shale at Shale Gas Summit on 23-24 Apr, 2012 in Beijing
China is rep ...
Wednesday, 07 March 12
3RD MOZAMBIQUE COAL CONFERENCE
3rd Mozambique Coal Conference
2-4 July 2012 | Joaquim Chissano International Conference Centre , Maputo, Mozambique
http://www.immevents.com/mo ...
Wednesday, 07 March 12
DRY BULK MARKET KEEPS UP TIMID REBOUND - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market has kept its rising momentum yesterday, rising for the eighth straight session, on the back of renewed demand for smaller bulk c ...
Wednesday, 07 March 12
BUKIT ASAM EYES 39% RISE IN COAL SALES - INSIDER STORIES
Insider Stories reported that, PT Bukit Asam Tbk is scouting a 39% increase in coal sales volume to 18.66 million tons this year from last year with ...
Wednesday, 07 March 12
PETROSEA SEALS US$188 MIO CONTRACT - INSIDER STORIES
Insider Stories reported that, coal mining contractor PT Petrosea Tbk has secured a US$188 million additional contract from its affiliated firm PT S ...
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- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Australian Coal Association
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
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