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Tuesday, 13 December 11
CAPESIZES AND PANAMAXES LEAD DRY BULK MARKET HIGHER - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING


The dry bulk market inched closer to the 2,000 mark on Monday, with Panamaxes rebounding firmly and leading the gains. As a result, the industry’s benchmark, the BDI (Baltic Dry Index) was up by 0.42% on the day, reaching 1,930 points for the first time in days. The Baltic Panamax Index (BPI) was the biggest contributor with daily gains of 1.17% to 1,733 points, while Capesizes were also on a high, reaching 3,725 points, up by 0.76% on the day. On the downside, Handysize/Handymax ship owners didn’t have much to cheer for, with the sector still losing track, ending yesterday below the 600-point mark.

According to the latest dry bulk weekly report from Paris-based shipbroker Barry Rogliano Salles (BRS), “the dry bulk freight market continues its volatile behaviour as it we approach the holiday period. Overall the BDI ended the week in positive territory due to a strong demand for Capes fueled by lower iron ore prices, which led to increased import activity. By the end of the week, the BDI was at 1922 points (+3%), the BCI at 3697 (+8.5%), the BPI at 1713 (+0.7%), while the smaller sizes dropped, with the BSI at 1230 (-7.9%) and the BHI down to 602 points (-3.4%)” said BRS.

Commenting on the Capesize sector, the shipbroker said that it was a second week of positive gains for the Cape market, with rate increases on all the major routes, and particularly on Atlantic and fronthaul trades out of Brazil. “A combination of good activity by the mining companies, plus some evidence of resistance by owners, pushed the 4TC rate to $32,600 by Friday, a rise of 11%. This surge also created momentum in the FFA market, with prices for December and January up sharply, at $31,000 and $21,750, a w-o-w r ise of 16% and 13% respectively. Monday saw more gains, with the 4TC rising another $270 and a seemingly positive outlook for the short term” said the shipbroker’s report.

On the Panamax front, BRS noted that “the Panamax 4TC remained almost flat over the course of last week (+ $96), ending at $13,682 per day. The Atlantic softened slightly at the beginning of the week before ticking up on the back of fresh cargoes released. Transatlantic rates hovered in the mid $15,500s with stronger numbers done Thursday and Friday. The number of vessels open in the Atlantic for the next 15 days was way below what has been seen the last 6 months, but rates were unable to pick up as demand remains low. Fronthaul rates reached mid $20,000 levels and activity was there and kept absorbing vessels able to make TA round too, explaining the low supply in Atlantic. In the East, rates lost some ground the first half of the week before posting a $500 gain the last 2 days to finally reach $10,805 per day, up $300 w-o-w. Several fixtures were reported in the $12/12,500 range as vessels started to ballast to Atlantic in search of the greener grass on the other side. The period market was a little more active than the week before with rates in the mid-low $12,000s per day for 4/6 months trading, reaching $13,000 for 1 year period” said BRS.

Finally, on the Supramax/Handy markets, the report mentioned that “the Baltic Supramax Index went down by 105 points to finish at 1,230 points last week, while the average of the time charter routes lost about $1,100 daily to finish close to $13,000 per day. The market was active in the Atlantic. Quite a few requirements of grain/sugar were added during the week especially in the South Atlantic and in the US Gulf – but this was not enough to cope with the number of vessels open, creating some downward pressure again. Supras ex south America fixed at a rate close to $19/20,000 for trip to Far East and $15/16,000 daily for trip to Continent/Med with equivalent ballast bonus. In the Pacific, Indo/China was fixing at
rates close to $8,000 daily + equivalent BB, and the market was supported with interest for ships for a few legs or short period.

On the smaller sizes, the Baltic Handysize index went down by 21 points to finish at 602 points while the time charter routes lost $263 to reach $8,597 daily. The TARV was worth $11,000 per day (quite a few grain and fertiliser requirements sustained levels in Continent/Med/Black Sea), whereas the Pacific round voyage was trading close to $6,000 daily. On the period front, Supramaxes fixed delivery China for 3/5 months redelivery worldwide at a rate close to $9/10,000 daily” concluded BRS.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping



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