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Thursday, 11 June 09
COAL PRODUCERS TO SEE BOOST IN DEMAND FROM ASIA PACIFIC - JAKARTA POST
The Jakarta Post reported that, at the recent 15th Coaltrans conference in Bali, we noted concerns related to rising oil prices at a faster pace than coal, which could incur heavier production costs for coal producers. However, we expect these increases to be offset by buoyant coal demand from the region.
India for example, clocking 8 percent annual power demand growth, estimates demand for imported coal to reach 43 million tons in 2009 because of its short domestic supply.
Additionally, India's cement industry is also growing at 9-10 percent annually, while its steel consumption is seeing 8 percent growth each year.
This is also supported by the Indian Electricity Act 2003, setting out to provide electricity for all of India by 2012. Hence, power demand in India is estimated to grow to 315 GW (gigawatts) by 2017, from 120 GW at present.
India has fallen short of meeting its thermal coal demand since 2005. Back then, the deficit was 37 million tons. This grew to 90 million tons in 2008, and is predicted to grow to 160 million tons by 2012.
The Coal and Oil Group of India estimates thermal coal imports to triple to 100 million tons by 2012, making it the world's fastest growing coal importer.
Support should also come from the Philippines with its estimated annual coal consumption of between 8.7 million - 10.2 million tons by coal-fired power plants alone, versus its annual coal production of 3.6 million tons.
Total coal demand in 2008 for the Philippines was 12.2 million tons, including coal usage by industrial, cement and heavy equipment sectors with the power sector accounting for 72 percent of demand.
Wood Mackenzie believes China will add pressure to demand by becoming a net coal importer as of 2009, with a gradual decline in coal exports, flattening out at 30 million tons a year by 2015.
On the domestic front, state utility firm PLN predicts Indonesia's energy demand to rise from 272 TWh (terawatt hours) this year to 325 TWh in 2018, when it predicts coal-steam power plants will account for 60 percent of the supply.
Coal demand for power generators is estimated to reach 107 million tons by 2018, up from 32 million tons in 2009.
By 2015, low-grade coal usage is expected to rise to 53 percent, from 8 percent in 2008, while medium and high-grade coal usage should decrease.
The government has adopted a mechanism to regulate both volumes and pricing for domestic market obligation (DMO) to ensure domestic demand is met.
Coal volume will be regulated through the Ministerial Decree on Minimum Percentage of Domestic Coal Sales, which will be distributed proportionally among coal buyers.
The government also plans to set an Indonesian Coal Price Reference (ICPR/HPB) to be applied for both producers and consumers. ICPR will rely on a reference index averaging on 4 indexes (ICI, BJ, GC, and Platts).
The new Minerals and Coal Mining Law has provided clear structuring through new mining licenses (IUP or IUPK) which apply for domestic and foreign investors.
However, regulations on divestiture of shares owned by foreign parties after five years of production may discourage foreign investment in the sector, but will provide support for domestic coal producers.
As a major thermal coal exporter, Indonesia will fully benefit from the short coal supply in neighboring countries.
Indonesia's strategic geographic location will make it a prime choice among coal suppliers based on lower delivery costs and timing compared to other countries such as Australia.
Declining coal exports from the Atlantic (the US) should also create potential for coal markets in the Pacific, particularly Indonesia.
The writer (Katherine Hermawan) , is a research analyst at Bahana Securities
Source: http://www.thejakartapost.com/news/2009/06/11/coal-producers-see-boost-demand-asia-pacific.html
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Monday, 15 June 09
POWER PLANT SUFFERS FROM COAL CRISIS - THE STATESMAN
The 3,000 mw NTPC-Kaniha power plant, the second biggest in the country, is facing an unprecedented coal crisis with stocks dipping to a low of only ...
Saturday, 13 June 09
CLEARLY THE DRIVER FOR DRY BULK MARKET SEEMS TO BE IMPORTS BY CHINA - VISTAAR SINGAPORE
COALspot.com (Singapore): The market saw mixed results last week. The beginning of the week saw the indices dropping including the futures , however t ...
Friday, 12 June 09
SOUTH SUMATERA SPEEDS UP INTERNATIONAL HARBOR CONSTRUCTION - TEMPO INTERACTIVE
The South Sumatera Government will speed up construction of the international harbor Tanjung Api-Api. The harbor is a strategic entry point for comm ...
Friday, 12 June 09
CHINA SHENHUA NOT EYEING NEW FOREIGN COAL MINES - MEDIA
China Shenhua Energy Co Ltd , the top Chinese coal miner, will not consider buying any major overseas mines before it starts operating the Watermark ...
Friday, 12 June 09
CHINA TOP POWER COS SIGN REGIONAL COAL DEALS - REUTERS
China's top five power generating groups have signed 2009 coal supply contracts with miners in Guizhou and Xinjiang, with prices up 4 percent on th ...
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- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- MS Steel International - UAE
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- The University of Queensland
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Australian Coal Association
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Minerals Council of Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- White Energy Company Limited
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
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