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Thursday, 20 October 11
CAPESIZES, SUPRAMAXES LEAD GAINS FOR DRY BULK MARKET - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING


Struggling to find additional support, but still managing to post gains, the dry bulk market has stabilized itself on higher levels again yesterday, with the industry’s benchmark, the BDI (Baltic Dry Index) ending the session at 2,140 points, up by 0.19%.Capesizes led the market, with gains of 0.64% to 3.473 points for the Baltic Capesize Index (BCI), while supramax carriers were also on a high note, ending up by 0.31% to 1,612 points. By contrast, a relative weakness was evident in the Panamax segment of the market, with the BPI retreating by 0.62% to 2,086 points. It seems though that the market has finally retrieved its lost modus operandi, when amid the crisis, panamaxes were steadily earning more than the larger Capesizes.

Commenting on the Capesize market, shipbroker Shiptrade Services said that “in the Atlantic basin the fronthaul trade experience the higher increase, as rates pushed higher USD 2 pmt on the Tubarao/Qingdao trade, and eventually concluded at USD 28.80 pmt. Rates for Transatlantic rounds concluded at USD 36.000per day, while for trips to F.East, levels concluded at USD 51.000per day. Activity in the Pacific basin remained at good levels, as we could see cargoes ex Australia, India, S.Africa and Indonesia. Rates for Pacific round concluded at USD 30.000 per day basis N.China delivery, while on the Australia/China trade, about 15 vessels got covered at levels fluctuating between USD 11.25 – 12.75pmt” said Shiptrade.

Regarding the Panamax market it said that it continued to firm in both the Atlantic and Pacific. In the Atlantic basin, the USG market still remained the driving force, especially for the Fronthaul cargoes with fixtures reported at USD 27.000+700.000 GBB basis APS USG. There were not so many enquiries for Transatlantic round but still rates managed to increase. At week’s closing, rates concluded at USD 17-18.000per day.

Activity in the Pacific was also good as there were many coal parcels ex Indonesia and Australia, and many enquiries from NOPAC. At week’s closing, rates for S.China/S.E.Asia positions interested for Indonesia round, concluded at USD 16.000per day. Positions at N.china/Japan range interested for trips ex NOPAC, or Australia could get USD 15.000per day.
As far as the Supramax market is concerned, Shiptrade mentioned that “in the Atlantic basin, rates improved with USG region keeping the league. Rates ex USG for trip to continent/East Mediterranean concluded close to USD 30.000 per day, while for trips to F.East fixtures reported at USD 35.000 per day. The Mediterranean/Bl.Sea market was a bit quiet, but rates increased as an effect of the increase in the USG. Grains/ferts/steels ex Bl.Sea to F.East remained at USD 25.000per day, while rates for trips to USG were between USD 7-9.000per day. We noticed many cargoes ex ECSA mostly to destination F.East, and rates USD 22-23.000 basis W.Africa deliver, or USD low/mid 20’s + 450-500.000 GBB basis APS. Rates for trips ex W.Africa via Brazil to Continent/Med concluded at USD 16.000per day.

Rates in the pacific region followed the trend, with many Owners preferring to cover their vessels for short period at rates between USD 15-15.500per day, rather than keeping them in the spot market. Those who preferred to remain on the spot market, were looking for cargoes ex Indonesia to direction India at levels around USD 15-16.000 basis S.China/S.E.Asia, or USD 12-13.000 basis delivery N.China/Japan. On the other hand, for the N.China positions, the cargoes ex Nopac remained an attractive solution at rates of USD 14 -15.000per day” concluded Shiptrade.

The recent dry freight market rally had been driven by firmer coal and iron exports from Australia and Brazil to China, which boosted the larger capesize market. Coal imports into Japan have also picked up. Manufacturing in Australia had been disrupted earlier this year by floods, while Japanese industrial raw materials import demand had been affected by an earthquake in March that crippled a nuclear plant and threw Japan's economy into disarray.

"We believe lower (iron ore) prices are supportive for price sensitive Chinese buyers and would keep imports at robust levels given the steel demand/price does not deteriorate materially," RS Platou Markets said, in a quote from Reuters. To this extent, Vale’s remarks that it would consider lowering iron ore prices, could very well signal some of the best news dry bulk ship owners have heard these past few weeks.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping



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