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Wednesday, 05 October 11
WITH CHINA ON HOLIDAY, DRY BULK MARKET REMAINS STAGNANT - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market has remained to healthy levels after last month’s rally, but with China going on holiday this week, things are looking stagnant and could get worse in the coming days. Yesterday, the industry’s benchmark, the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) was marginally down by 0.05% to 1,885 points, shedding just one point. Still, activity in the Capesize market was low, leading the Baltic Capesize Index down by 1.37% to 3,021 points. Capesizes are typically used to haul coal and iron ore into China. Surprisingly, all other shipping segments were higher yesterday, with the Panamax market leading the foray as the BPI rose by 1.66% to 1,771 points.
According to the latest weekly report from Paris-based shipbroker Barry Rogliano Salles (BRS), “a slump for both the Capes and Panamaxes sent the BDI down 1% this week, falling to 1,899 points. The Capes saw the greatest movement, sliding -6%, while the BPI fell 5%. The BSI was steady with a rise of 1.4%. However good cargo flow in the Atlantic pushed the Handysize index up 7.7% to reach 740 points. At $10,850, the Handy time charter average finished the week at its highest level since mid-June. In Russia, the government announced ambitious plans to spend nearly $600m on its grain ports, in order to increase capacity by as much as 67% over the next four years. The new investment is forecast to lift grain loading capacity to almost 42 million metric tons from 25 million tons this year. Spending would be focused on developing and adding terminals on the Baltic, Asov and Black Seas. One rail carrier estimated the improvements could increase the discount at which Russia can sell grain at international tender by $7 to $8 per ton” said BRS.
Commenting on the Capesize market it mentioned that “declines that had perhaps been expected the previous week finally appeared this week, and the BCI lost 6% to finish at 3,136 points. The 4TC fell back to $26,601. In both runs this month, rates have risen to just under $29,000 before quickly retreating. A reduction in cargo movements was notable this week however, particularly towards end week as China began its holidays. With this in mind, we are unlikely to see any major improvements in the coming week. It was a volatile week in the FFA market, but the overall trend was also down with October and Q4 contracts both losing around $1400 w-o-w. Period rates have not softened much however, and short-period was fixing at around $19,000 per day, while two 206,000 tonners (ex yard February 2012) were reported fixed for between 44-50 months at $18,000 per day less 5% commission. As expected, the BCI fell again at the start of this current week” said the shipbroker in its report.
As far as the Panamax market is concerned, “both the Atlantic and Pacific basins became tighter last week. The Indian Ocean market become stronger too with fresh cargoes released after monsoon. In the Atlantic, available open tonnage dropped significantly over the last week and the TA round voyage reached almost $15,000. On a voyage basis, USEC to Continent was in the $15.50 pmt range while USG to Continent was in the low $20s pmt with a bullish outlook. Some charterers struggled to find the right candidates for trip from US Gulf/US east Coast to Continent. Ballasters expected from the east have not yet reached the area so open vessels in the zone have dropped by 60% in 15 days. Fronthaul rates remained relatively flat in the $22,500/$22,700 range. In the Pacific, open tonnage became tighter as well and dropped by 35% in 15 days. Rates seemed to have found a floor and hold relatively well, helped by the ballasters mentioned before. The Nopac round was around $10,500. Oversupply was absorbed by fresh cargoes put into the market by Chinese players before they went on holiday, which is a good reason to say that this week should be quiet” mentioned BRS.
In a separate notice issued yesterday, Commodore Research & Consultancy commented on the fact that Chinese steel output has come under pressure as it anticipated. “The China Iron and Steel Association (CISA) recently reported that daily crude steel output averaged 1.919 million tons from September 11 to September 21. This is a moderate decrease from the 1.964mt daily output average that occurred during September 1 to September 10. On a 30-day basis, the 1.919mt daily output average would yield 57.57mt of steel while the 1.964mt daily output average would yield 58.92mt. We have been predicting that Chinese steel output would come under pressure due to a recent stagnation in steel prices and increase in steel stockpiles. Chinese steel prices have come under a moderate amount of pressure since the end of August. The average price of 3.0mm hot rolled coil is now 4,760 yuan/ton, 190 yuan (-4%) less than a month ago. Chinese steel stockpiles have increased for five straight weeks and currently stand at 14.4mt. At the end of August, stockpiles stood at 13.6mt. The stagnation in steel prices and increase in steel stockpiles has been an indication that the recent level of Chinese steel output had been exceeding demand.
Going forward, Chinese steel output is likely to come under a bit more pressure during the next few weeks. Although output has declined, it is important to recognize that Chinese steel output is still relatively high and in no way is the Chinese steel industry undergoing a major correction. Instead, steel output is only coming under a small amount of pressure, which has been necessary in order to draw down stockpiles and allow prices to find support. If Chinese crude steel output ends up totaling 57mt in October, this would still be 6.7mt (13%) more than was produced in October 2010” concluded Commodore.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Tuesday, 09 August 11
DRY BULK MARKET UNABLE TO FIND UPWARD MOMENTUM, SLUMPS AGAIN - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
They same that what goes up must come down and nobody seems to have found a better application of this expression, than the beleguered dry bulk mark ...
Monday, 08 August 11
OIL PRICES ARE SOFTENING, WILL IT INFLUENCE COAL PRICES?
COALspot.com - The current global economic condition is in volatility after a little chance of optimism for economic recovery.
Oil price at ...
Monday, 08 August 11
A SUPRAMAX VESSEL WAS REPORTED FIXED AT $ 12K - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The BDI was slightly up by about 4 points closed at 1268 points which was supported by cape index which was up 3.14 pct and closed at ...
Saturday, 06 August 11
NTPC IS CONSIDERING TO ENTER INTO 25 YEARS COAL PURCHASE AGREEMENT
Indian, State-run power producer NTPC's present annual consumption is 164 million tonnes, and company is considering long-term agreements abroad to ...
Friday, 05 August 11
RIO TINTO SIGNS MOU WITH JINDAL STEEL AND POWER ON ADVANCING HISMELT TECHNOLOGY
Press Release - Rio Tinto has signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) with Jindal Steel and Power Limited (JSPL) to take the next step in g ...
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- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Australian Coal Association
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Planning Commission, India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- PTC India Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
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