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Wednesday, 05 October 11
WITH CHINA ON HOLIDAY, DRY BULK MARKET REMAINS STAGNANT - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market has remained to healthy levels after last month’s rally, but with China going on holiday this week, things are looking stagnant and could get worse in the coming days. Yesterday, the industry’s benchmark, the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) was marginally down by 0.05% to 1,885 points, shedding just one point. Still, activity in the Capesize market was low, leading the Baltic Capesize Index down by 1.37% to 3,021 points. Capesizes are typically used to haul coal and iron ore into China. Surprisingly, all other shipping segments were higher yesterday, with the Panamax market leading the foray as the BPI rose by 1.66% to 1,771 points.
According to the latest weekly report from Paris-based shipbroker Barry Rogliano Salles (BRS), “a slump for both the Capes and Panamaxes sent the BDI down 1% this week, falling to 1,899 points. The Capes saw the greatest movement, sliding -6%, while the BPI fell 5%. The BSI was steady with a rise of 1.4%. However good cargo flow in the Atlantic pushed the Handysize index up 7.7% to reach 740 points. At $10,850, the Handy time charter average finished the week at its highest level since mid-June. In Russia, the government announced ambitious plans to spend nearly $600m on its grain ports, in order to increase capacity by as much as 67% over the next four years. The new investment is forecast to lift grain loading capacity to almost 42 million metric tons from 25 million tons this year. Spending would be focused on developing and adding terminals on the Baltic, Asov and Black Seas. One rail carrier estimated the improvements could increase the discount at which Russia can sell grain at international tender by $7 to $8 per ton” said BRS.
Commenting on the Capesize market it mentioned that “declines that had perhaps been expected the previous week finally appeared this week, and the BCI lost 6% to finish at 3,136 points. The 4TC fell back to $26,601. In both runs this month, rates have risen to just under $29,000 before quickly retreating. A reduction in cargo movements was notable this week however, particularly towards end week as China began its holidays. With this in mind, we are unlikely to see any major improvements in the coming week. It was a volatile week in the FFA market, but the overall trend was also down with October and Q4 contracts both losing around $1400 w-o-w. Period rates have not softened much however, and short-period was fixing at around $19,000 per day, while two 206,000 tonners (ex yard February 2012) were reported fixed for between 44-50 months at $18,000 per day less 5% commission. As expected, the BCI fell again at the start of this current week” said the shipbroker in its report.
As far as the Panamax market is concerned, “both the Atlantic and Pacific basins became tighter last week. The Indian Ocean market become stronger too with fresh cargoes released after monsoon. In the Atlantic, available open tonnage dropped significantly over the last week and the TA round voyage reached almost $15,000. On a voyage basis, USEC to Continent was in the $15.50 pmt range while USG to Continent was in the low $20s pmt with a bullish outlook. Some charterers struggled to find the right candidates for trip from US Gulf/US east Coast to Continent. Ballasters expected from the east have not yet reached the area so open vessels in the zone have dropped by 60% in 15 days. Fronthaul rates remained relatively flat in the $22,500/$22,700 range. In the Pacific, open tonnage became tighter as well and dropped by 35% in 15 days. Rates seemed to have found a floor and hold relatively well, helped by the ballasters mentioned before. The Nopac round was around $10,500. Oversupply was absorbed by fresh cargoes put into the market by Chinese players before they went on holiday, which is a good reason to say that this week should be quiet” mentioned BRS.
In a separate notice issued yesterday, Commodore Research & Consultancy commented on the fact that Chinese steel output has come under pressure as it anticipated. “The China Iron and Steel Association (CISA) recently reported that daily crude steel output averaged 1.919 million tons from September 11 to September 21. This is a moderate decrease from the 1.964mt daily output average that occurred during September 1 to September 10. On a 30-day basis, the 1.919mt daily output average would yield 57.57mt of steel while the 1.964mt daily output average would yield 58.92mt. We have been predicting that Chinese steel output would come under pressure due to a recent stagnation in steel prices and increase in steel stockpiles. Chinese steel prices have come under a moderate amount of pressure since the end of August. The average price of 3.0mm hot rolled coil is now 4,760 yuan/ton, 190 yuan (-4%) less than a month ago. Chinese steel stockpiles have increased for five straight weeks and currently stand at 14.4mt. At the end of August, stockpiles stood at 13.6mt. The stagnation in steel prices and increase in steel stockpiles has been an indication that the recent level of Chinese steel output had been exceeding demand.
Going forward, Chinese steel output is likely to come under a bit more pressure during the next few weeks. Although output has declined, it is important to recognize that Chinese steel output is still relatively high and in no way is the Chinese steel industry undergoing a major correction. Instead, steel output is only coming under a small amount of pressure, which has been necessary in order to draw down stockpiles and allow prices to find support. If Chinese crude steel output ends up totaling 57mt in October, this would still be 6.7mt (13%) more than was produced in October 2010” concluded Commodore.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Friday, 19 August 11
INDIA IMPORTS LESS INDONESIAN COAL THAN CHINA IN JULY
COALspot.com - Indonesia shipped 31.30 Million tons of coal in July 2011, up by 10.69 percent compared to June's export of about 28.27 ...
Thursday, 18 August 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED LOW GRADE COAL EXPORT BAN WILL NOT HAVE A SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON INDIA - MISWIN MAHESH
COALspot.com - The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by Jan ...
Thursday, 18 August 11
MARUBENI ACQUIRED 42.86% OF YTL JAWA POWER
COALspot.com - Marubeni Corporation (Marubeni) has completed the acquisition of 42.86 percent of the shares of YTL Jawa Power Holdings BV from YTL P ...
Wednesday, 17 August 11
CME LAUNCHES ARGUS COKING COAL SWAP FUTURES
COALspot.com - Argus media reported that, leading exchange CME Group will list an Australian coking coal swap futures contract for trading on the Ny ...
Wednesday, 17 August 11
TAVESCO KILLARA ENERGY TO ACQUIRE COAL CONCESSIONS IN EAST KALIMANTAN
COALspot.com - Killara Resources Limited, an Australian listed company has formed PT Tavesco Killara Energy (TKE), a joint company with PT Tavesco I ...
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- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Australian Coal Association
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- White Energy Company Limited
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
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