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Wednesday, 05 October 11
WITH CHINA ON HOLIDAY, DRY BULK MARKET REMAINS STAGNANT - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market has remained to healthy levels after last month’s rally, but with China going on holiday this week, things are looking stagnant and could get worse in the coming days. Yesterday, the industry’s benchmark, the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) was marginally down by 0.05% to 1,885 points, shedding just one point. Still, activity in the Capesize market was low, leading the Baltic Capesize Index down by 1.37% to 3,021 points. Capesizes are typically used to haul coal and iron ore into China. Surprisingly, all other shipping segments were higher yesterday, with the Panamax market leading the foray as the BPI rose by 1.66% to 1,771 points.
According to the latest weekly report from Paris-based shipbroker Barry Rogliano Salles (BRS), “a slump for both the Capes and Panamaxes sent the BDI down 1% this week, falling to 1,899 points. The Capes saw the greatest movement, sliding -6%, while the BPI fell 5%. The BSI was steady with a rise of 1.4%. However good cargo flow in the Atlantic pushed the Handysize index up 7.7% to reach 740 points. At $10,850, the Handy time charter average finished the week at its highest level since mid-June. In Russia, the government announced ambitious plans to spend nearly $600m on its grain ports, in order to increase capacity by as much as 67% over the next four years. The new investment is forecast to lift grain loading capacity to almost 42 million metric tons from 25 million tons this year. Spending would be focused on developing and adding terminals on the Baltic, Asov and Black Seas. One rail carrier estimated the improvements could increase the discount at which Russia can sell grain at international tender by $7 to $8 per ton” said BRS.
Commenting on the Capesize market it mentioned that “declines that had perhaps been expected the previous week finally appeared this week, and the BCI lost 6% to finish at 3,136 points. The 4TC fell back to $26,601. In both runs this month, rates have risen to just under $29,000 before quickly retreating. A reduction in cargo movements was notable this week however, particularly towards end week as China began its holidays. With this in mind, we are unlikely to see any major improvements in the coming week. It was a volatile week in the FFA market, but the overall trend was also down with October and Q4 contracts both losing around $1400 w-o-w. Period rates have not softened much however, and short-period was fixing at around $19,000 per day, while two 206,000 tonners (ex yard February 2012) were reported fixed for between 44-50 months at $18,000 per day less 5% commission. As expected, the BCI fell again at the start of this current week” said the shipbroker in its report.
As far as the Panamax market is concerned, “both the Atlantic and Pacific basins became tighter last week. The Indian Ocean market become stronger too with fresh cargoes released after monsoon. In the Atlantic, available open tonnage dropped significantly over the last week and the TA round voyage reached almost $15,000. On a voyage basis, USEC to Continent was in the $15.50 pmt range while USG to Continent was in the low $20s pmt with a bullish outlook. Some charterers struggled to find the right candidates for trip from US Gulf/US east Coast to Continent. Ballasters expected from the east have not yet reached the area so open vessels in the zone have dropped by 60% in 15 days. Fronthaul rates remained relatively flat in the $22,500/$22,700 range. In the Pacific, open tonnage became tighter as well and dropped by 35% in 15 days. Rates seemed to have found a floor and hold relatively well, helped by the ballasters mentioned before. The Nopac round was around $10,500. Oversupply was absorbed by fresh cargoes put into the market by Chinese players before they went on holiday, which is a good reason to say that this week should be quiet” mentioned BRS.
In a separate notice issued yesterday, Commodore Research & Consultancy commented on the fact that Chinese steel output has come under pressure as it anticipated. “The China Iron and Steel Association (CISA) recently reported that daily crude steel output averaged 1.919 million tons from September 11 to September 21. This is a moderate decrease from the 1.964mt daily output average that occurred during September 1 to September 10. On a 30-day basis, the 1.919mt daily output average would yield 57.57mt of steel while the 1.964mt daily output average would yield 58.92mt. We have been predicting that Chinese steel output would come under pressure due to a recent stagnation in steel prices and increase in steel stockpiles. Chinese steel prices have come under a moderate amount of pressure since the end of August. The average price of 3.0mm hot rolled coil is now 4,760 yuan/ton, 190 yuan (-4%) less than a month ago. Chinese steel stockpiles have increased for five straight weeks and currently stand at 14.4mt. At the end of August, stockpiles stood at 13.6mt. The stagnation in steel prices and increase in steel stockpiles has been an indication that the recent level of Chinese steel output had been exceeding demand.
Going forward, Chinese steel output is likely to come under a bit more pressure during the next few weeks. Although output has declined, it is important to recognize that Chinese steel output is still relatively high and in no way is the Chinese steel industry undergoing a major correction. Instead, steel output is only coming under a small amount of pressure, which has been necessary in order to draw down stockpiles and allow prices to find support. If Chinese crude steel output ends up totaling 57mt in October, this would still be 6.7mt (13%) more than was produced in October 2010” concluded Commodore.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Thursday, 20 October 11
CAPESIZE - TUBARAO /QINGDAO BEING FIXED AT STRONG US$ 29.75 PMT
Handy
The Atlantic market is quite steady, and market seems to be around the same levels as last week. Fewer fixtures reported though. ...
Thursday, 20 October 11
BRACKEN INTERNATIONAL MINING LISTS ON FRANKFURT STOCK EXCHANGE
Press Release - Bracken International Mining (Code:1BM) listed on the Deutsche Börse’s Frankfurt Stock Exchange today at €1.00 with ...
Thursday, 20 October 11
CAPESIZES, SUPRAMAXES LEAD GAINS FOR DRY BULK MARKET - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
Struggling to find additional support, but still managing to post gains, the dry bulk market has stabilized itself on higher levels again yesterday, ...
Wednesday, 19 October 11
METALLURGICAL COAL PRICES TO DROP BELOW US$240/TONNE - WOOD MACKENZIE
Wood Mackenzie Says Metallurgical Coal Prices to Drop Below US$240/tonne by Q4 2012 But Long-term Demand Fundamentals Remain Robust
Wood Mackenzi ...
Wednesday, 19 October 11
SUPRAMAX MARKET WAS VERY FIRM LAST WEEK - BRS
With all sectors contributing positively, the BDI ended the week at 2,173 points (+8.6%), its highest level so far in 2011. The BCI stood at 3,587 ( ...
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- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- PTC India Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- The University of Queensland
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
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