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Wednesday, 07 September 11
ANOTHER EXCEPTIONALLY STRONG WEEK FOR THE CAPESIZE MARKET - BRS


The very strong rise in Cape rates pushed through an overall improvement in the BDI this week, although relatively little benefit from the Capes has so far trickled down to the other sizes.  The BDI gained almost 13%, while the BCI continued its remarkable performance climbing to 2,975 points, equivalent to a 27% gain w-o-w. The BPI and BSI lost a marginal 1.2% and 0.5%, while the BHSI was up by 0.5% to 670 points.  Underpinning the increase in Cape rates, China reported record levels of import stockpiles Friday, at 95.59m tonnes. Imports originating from Brazil fell slightly against a week ago, but both Australia and India showed increases, with Indian imports rising 3.7% w-o-w.  

Capesize 
Another exceptionally strong week for the Capesize market, taking the BCI up to 2,975 points and the 4TC to $23,899, a rise of 43% and the highest levels seen since December 2010. A surge of incoming cargos was the reason, helped by firming steel demand in Asia, in particular China and Japan. Although gains were apparent across the board, Aus -China and the Atlantic slightly outperformed Braz-China. The newfound optimism, at least for the next month or two, resulted in more period enquiry. A one -year period deal was reported for a 2010built 176,000 tonner at $14,000 with delivery China mid September. Meanwhile a 175,000 tonner was reported booked in the Pacific for 5-7 months at $19,000. October FFA prices were trading Friday at $19,255, compared to just $14,325 a week ago. 

Panamax  
There was a marginal drop of -$153 on the 4TC Panamax w-o-w as the Atlantic softened by -$861, however this was balanced mainly by the Pacific basin’s increase of $485 w-o-w. This overall drop had little effect on paper which posted gains across the curve for the week, mainly driven by the dramatic increase in Cape paper prices.   The increased activity and gains displayed on the Cape market did not filter into the smaller sizes in any significant way. In the Atlantic there was limited fresh enquiry whilst growing open tonnage gave impetus to a softening of rates throughout the week. The Pacific on the other hand did realise gains over the week mainly on the back of spot fixing for Indonesia and Australia cargoes, which extended through to increased short period business being concluded also. The short period market for Panamax LME delivery North China firmed up a bit during the week from $13,800 to $14,500 end of the week reflecting a more positive sentiment for the coming months.

Supramax/Handy
Not much excitement going on in the market this past week.  We hope/expect that the activity will start picking up now that summer is over and everyone has returned from vacation. For Supras, the Baltic Index lost 7 points to finish at 1,379, whereas the TC average decreased by $74 to finish at $14,489. Modern Supras were fixed from the USG to the Far East in the region of the high $20,000s, and in the mid $20,000s to the Med.  From the Continent, modern Supras were fixed to the Med somewhere in the mid/ high $10,000s.  For the smaller sizes, the market remained pretty much steady last week for Handies, with the Baltic losing 1 point and finishing at 670. The TC average for Handies increased by $8 to end the week at $9,945. From the USG, Handies were fixed to the Med in the mid $10,000s and in the low/mid $10,000s for a trip ex ECSA to the Med/Black Sea area. From the Cont a trip is a touch under $10,000 for NCSA destination.  

In the East, Supras were fixed around $13,500 for dop China via Indonesia redel Far East. Supras open China were fixed around $8,500 for trips via Indonesia to East Coast India. The Aussie round was fixed a t o u c h  b e l o w  $ 1 0 , 0 0 0 .   On period, modern Supras were taken in the Far East for 4/6 months around $15,000 with redelivery worldwide. 
Source: Barry Rogliano Salles



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