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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Tuesday, 22 November 11
NTPC TO BUY 2 MMT OF IMPORTED COAL FOR ITS FOUR PLANTS
COALspot.com - NTPC Limited, incorporated in 1975 as a public sector company wholly owned by Government of India, the largest thermal power generati ...
Tuesday, 22 November 11
ABM INVESTAMA SETS IPO AT RP 3,750
Insider Stories reported that, Integrated energy company PT ABM Investama Tbk has determined the IPO price at Rp3,750 (approximately US$ 0.415) per ...
Tuesday, 22 November 11
A SURPRISINGLY STRONG WEEK FOR THE CAPES - BRS
Positive gains for most of the segments this week, the exception being the Handysizes. Overall the BDI ended the week at 1,895 points (+3.3% week-on ...
Tuesday, 22 November 11
APPETITE FOR DRY BULK VESSELS SLOWS DOWN AT THE START OF THE WEEK - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market was down at the beginning of the week, as demand for Capesize vessels was particularly low. The industry’s benchmark, the ...
Monday, 21 November 11
CAPESIZES DRIVE MARKET LOWER, ANALYSTS DIVIDED ON DRY BULK OUTLOOK IN THE LONG RUN - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market ended the week on a sour note, with the industry’s benchmark heading downwards to 1,895 points, which represented a slight ...
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- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Planning Commission, India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Economic Council, Georgia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
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