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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Wednesday, 11 April 12
TWO PERCENT OF IBP CONCESSION CONTAINS 42 MMT OF COAL
COALspot.com - 42.35 million ton of coal found in just 2% of PT Insani Bara Perkasa’s total concession area of 24,477 hectare.
Accord ...
Wednesday, 11 April 12
DRY BULK MARKET STILL SUBDUED, RECOVERY NOT YET SEEN - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market entered the new week after the past days of easter holidays in western countries in a subdued mood. The industry’s benchma ...
Monday, 09 April 12
WEEKLY DRY MARKET OVERVIEW - MARIA BERTZELETOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The first week of April ended with the Baltic Dry Index falling below 950 points, before Catholic Easter, and capesizes showing a modest upturn with ...
Sunday, 08 April 12
CHARTER RATES COULD CONTINUE TO BE SOFT NEXT WEEK - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The BDI was almost at same levels closing slightly lower by 0.64 pct at 928 points.
The Cape index was up by 6.73 pct closing at ...
Friday, 06 April 12
INDONESIAN HBA FALL TO LOWEST LEVEL SINCE JANUARY 2011
COALspot.com - Indonesian HBA fall to lowest level since January 2011 this month. The monthly coal reference price for coal sales in April fal ...
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- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- White Energy Company Limited
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
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- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Minerals Council of Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
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