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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Friday, 08 June 12
MINISTER DENIES COAL EXPORT TAX PLAN, ENDORSES RESTRICTIONS - THE JAKARTA POST
The Jakarta post, one of the leading english news paper in Indonesia reported that, Energy and Mineral Resources Minister Jero Wacik has denied that ...
Friday, 08 June 12
NO IMMEDIATE IMPACT ON ADARO'S RATING FROM BEP TRANSACTION - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch Ratings has said that PT Adaro Indonesia's (Adaro, 'BB+'/ Stable) ratings are not immediately affected by its parent PT Adaro Energy Tbk's ...
Thursday, 07 June 12
DRY BULK MARKET FALLS FOR 10 STRAIGHT SESSION ON OVERSUPPLY PROBLEMS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
A resurgence of oversupply, coupled with national holidays in various parts of the world has contributed to yet another fall of the dry bulk market ...
Thursday, 07 June 12
COAL EXPORT TAX NOT RATIONAL: MINISTER - THE JAKARTA POST
Trade Minister Gita Wirjawan has criticized as irrational the idea to restrict coal exports by imposing an export tax, According to The Jakarta post ...
Thursday, 07 June 12
BY 2022 PLN IS EXPECTED TO BURN AROUND 125 MILLION TONS OF COAL
COALspot.com - Indonesia's state owned electricity company's (PLN) coal consumption is expected to reach 125.7 million tons by 2012.
Nur Pamudj ...
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- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Planning Commission, India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
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