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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Thursday, 05 July 12
BUMI ACHIEVES HIGHER SELLING PRICE IN FIRST QUARTER
COALspot.com - PT Bumi Resources Tbk (BUMI), Indonesia's largest coal producer and exporter, has successfully maintained a higher sales margin, des ...
Tuesday, 03 July 12
DRY BULK MARKET INCHED FORWARD AT THE START OF THE WEEK - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market inched forward at the beginning of the new week, prior to the US holidays regarding the celebration of the 4th of July, which is ...
Monday, 02 July 12
ORPHEUS STRENGTHENS REVENUE STREAM WITH NEW ROYALTY AGREEMENT AT THE B2 COAL PROJECT
Orpheus Energy (ASX:OEG) is pleased to advise that it has executed a life of mine Royalty Agreement with Indonesian mining contractor PT Debbia Mini ...
Monday, 02 July 12
DRY BULK DEMAND TO RISE TO 3.6 BILLION TONNES IN 2012, BUT NEW BUILDING DELIVERIES ARE
In its latest analysis on the dry bulk market fundamentals, DVB Bank said that dry bulk cargo demand is forecast to rise to approximately 3.6 billio ...
Sunday, 01 July 12
AUSTRALIAS CARBON TAX - SUNIL K KUMBHAT
COALspot.com - Climate Change
Climate change and global warming have now become buzzwords the world over. The disastrous consequences for global ...
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- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Planning Commission, India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- The University of Queensland
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
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