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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Wednesday, 29 August 12
COLOMBIA'S MINING BOOM: PART ONE - JOSEPH KIRSCHKE
COALspot.com - Colombia stands before one of the potentially largest, most diversified mining booms in the world. Untold reserves of gold, coal, cop ...
Wednesday, 29 August 12
SECOND HAND VESSELS IN HIGH DEMAND DESPITE SUMMER SEASON - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
Despite the slow summer season, ship owners appear to be rather keen in acquiring some modern second hand tonnage at "knock-down" prices. ...
Monday, 27 August 12
BUMI BOOKS $322.1 MILLION NET LOSS IN 1H 2012 IN SPITE OF 8.6 PERCENT INCREASE IN SALES REVENUE
PT Bumi Resources Tbk, the single largest coal producer and exporter in Indonesia announces its first half financial report for the ...
Monday, 27 August 12
OVER 200 FOREIGN COMPANIES AND ENERGY MAJORS EXPECTED AT 2ND MOGP SUMMIT IN YANGON
Singapore based CMT and Machinery & Solutions Co. Ltd (M&S) announce that the 2nd MOGP Summit will be held on 3-6 September at the Sedona ho ...
Sunday, 26 August 12
SOUTH AFRICAN COAL OVERVIEW
South Africa's indigenous energy resource base is dominated by coal.
Internationally, coal is the most widely used primary fuel, accounting for ...
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- PTC India Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Planning Commission, India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- The University of Queensland
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Australian Coal Association
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
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