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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Tuesday, 30 October 12
NEW BUILDING ORDERING ACTIVITY KEEPS ON RETREATING - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Ship owners have refrained from placing any new orders of vessels during the course of the past few days, according to shipbroker reports. According ...
Monday, 29 October 12
US COAL EXPORTS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH 125 MILLION TONS THIS YEAR - EIA
COALspot.com - US coal exports are expected to reach 125 million tons this year, surpassing the old record of about 113 million tons set in 1981, sa ...
Sunday, 28 October 12
SUB-BIT INDONESIA COAL SWAPS (FOB ) FOR DECEMBER 2012 DELIVERY STAYED FLAT D-D
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for December 2012 delivery flat on D-D but gained 0.38 percent on W-W on Friday, 26 October 2012, ...
Sunday, 28 October 12
INDONESIA TO INDIA SUPRAMAX FREIGHT MARKET FAIRLY STEADY - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The Cape size sector continued to remain active with iron ore movement being steady. All other sectors were down.
The BDI was up b ...
Friday, 26 October 12
SHIPPING MARKETS HEADING FOR DIVISION AND MULTI-TIER WILL BECOME THE NORM - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
It seems that something is expected to be fundamentally different in the way that the shipping markets will be operating in the future, according to ...
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- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Planning Commission, India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Minerals Council of Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
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