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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Saturday, 22 December 12
FALL IN CAPE AND PANAMAX RATES DRAG BDI INDEX - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The freight market further softened this week closing at 700 points (down by 10.71 pct). The cape index continued to fall and w ...
Saturday, 22 December 12
DELTA DUNIA MAKMUR PRODUCED 3.2 MILLION TONS OF COAL IN NOVEMBER' 12
COALspot.com - PT Delta Dunia Makmur Tbk., has removed 28.1 million bcm* (+1.8% YoY) of Overburden in November 2012 while coal production was at 3.2 ...
Friday, 21 December 12
JORC CODE, 2012 EDITION NOW FINALIZED
COALspot.com - The JORC Committee has announced that, the completion of the review of the JORC Code of 2012 Edition.
The JORC Code, 2012 Ed ...
Thursday, 20 December 12
COAL CLOSING IN ON OIL AS WORLD'S TOP ENERGY SOURCE BY 2017
COALspot.com - Coal’s share of the global energy mix continues to rise, and by 2017 coal will come close to surpassing oil as the world’ ...
Thursday, 20 December 12
CHINA'S IRON ORE AND COAL DEMAND WILL SHAPE THE CAPESIZE DRY BULK TRADE DURING 2013 - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Despite the best efforts from ship owners to help alleviate the current tonnage oversupply issue in the dry bulk segment, especially in the larger v ...
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- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Economic Council, Georgia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
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