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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Sunday, 06 January 13
FREIGHT MARKET REMAINED FAIRLY STEADY - VISTAAR
WISH YOU ALL HAPPY NEW YEAR
COALspot.com - The freight market remained fairly steady in spite of Christmas / New Year Holidays. The BDI was almos ...
Saturday, 05 January 13
THE SHIPPING MARKET IN 2012 AND LOOKING FORWARD - BIMCO
Global Economy: Things will go up from here
The global economy continues to grow, albeit at a slower pace than previous years. The slower economic ...
Friday, 04 January 13
DRY BULK MARKET LOOKING FOR DIRECTION IN FIRST TRADING DAYS OF THE NEW YEAR - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market is actively looking for its footing at the start of the New Year, as charters have been scarce, as is usually the case during th ...
Thursday, 03 January 13
INDONESIAN SUB-BITUMINOUS COAL SWAPS CLOSED US$ 6.86 HIGHER FOR 2014 DELIVERY
COALspot.com - Swaps prices were changed positively for thermal coal for loading in the first quarter from Indonesia, according to SGX AsiaClear OTC ...
Thursday, 03 January 13
SUPRMAX FREIGHT RATE FROM RED SEA / INDIA IS AROUND MID TEENS - FEARNLEYS
Fearnleys in its weekly report said that, Indian market was very quiet in respect of export of iron ore. For Indo-India trip Supra rate was hovering ...
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- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- The University of Queensland
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
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