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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Friday, 08 February 13
NORTH P&I CLUB WARNS OF LIQUEFACTION RISK FOR BAUXITE CARGOES
The ‘A’ rated 170 million GT North P&I club has warned shipowners carrying bauxite aluminium ore cargoes that they have the potentia ...
Thursday, 07 February 13
CHINA NDRC APPROVED 10 BILLION YUAN POWER GENERATION PROJECTS
NDRC of China currently announced that some of power grid and power station in Jiangxu, Sichuan and Anhui Province would be newly constructed or ext ...
Thursday, 07 February 13
CAPESIZE : MORE ACTIVE WEEK IN THE PACIFIC - FEARNLEYS AS
Handy
The Atlantic market remained stable with no significant movement in rates. Rates from USG to FEast were around USD 18k and Black Sea to Feast ...
Thursday, 07 February 13
WEAK STEEL MARKET MEANS IRON ORE RALLY LIKELY TO END SOON - FITCH
The sharp rebound in iron ore prices over the last couple of months will hurt margins at non-integrated steel producers in the first quarter of 2013 ...
Tuesday, 05 February 13
THE SHIPPING SECTOR IS " NAVIGATING IN STORMY WATERS" - PWC
The vulnerabilities of the global economy have been exposed and have more than played their part in making 2011 one of the worst years of shipping i ...
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- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Planning Commission, India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- PTC India Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Minerals Council of Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
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