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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Tuesday, 26 February 13
10TH CLEAN COAL FORUM WILL BE HELD ON JUNE 2013
CDMC Events will be presenting the 10th Clean Coal Forum 2013 on June 13 - 14, 2013 in Beijing,China.
It will make you understand regulatory asp ...
Sunday, 24 February 13
COAL SWAPS INCH UP WEEK - ON - WEEK
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for average Q2’ 2013 delivery has gained 0.17 percent and CFR South China coal shipme ...
Sunday, 24 February 13
BDI FELL 1.72 PERCENT BUT FREIGHT MARKET FAIRLY STEADY - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - This freight market has been fairly steady this week but, BDI fell1.72 pct and closed at 740 points.
The cape index also joins BDI ...
Saturday, 23 February 13
IHS MCCLOSKEY 20TH ANNUAL COAL CONFERENCE OF THE AMERICAS
IHS McCloskey 20th Annual Coal Conference of the Americas to be held on 13-14 March 2013 in Cartagena, Colombia
IHS is pleased to invite you to t ...
Thursday, 21 February 13
HANDY : THE PACIFIC MARKET GOT FIRMED UP AS CHINESE CAME BACK FROM HOLIDAYS - FEARNLEYS
Handy
The Atlantic saw more cargoes than last week but rates remained unchanged as lot of ships in the market. The USG-Feast was at USD 18k and Bla ...
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- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Planning Commission, India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Australian Coal Association
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
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