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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Friday, 14 June 13
U.S. COAL PRODUCTION TOTALED APPROXIMATELY 18.20 MILLION SHORT TONS W/E 8 JUNE 2013
COALspot.com – United states the world’s second largest coal producer produced totaled approximately 18.20 million short tons (mmst) of ...
Thursday, 13 June 13
HANDY: SHORT PERIOD WERE FIXED AT AROUND USD 9000 LEVEL
Handy
Despite falling rates for bigger sizes, the Supras in Atlantic are seeing some improvements with fresh biz. US Gulf positions fetching tick a ...
Thursday, 13 June 13
BIMCO EXPECTS SUBDUED CAPESIZE EARNINGS FOR THE COMING WEEKS - HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Bulk is not only about China even though it is a key driver. In this section, we have taken a closer look at the European seaborne coal markets, whi ...
Thursday, 13 June 13
RIO TINTO AGREES SALE OF EAGLE PROJECT FOR AN ESTIMATED US$325 MILLION IN CASH
COALspot.com - Rio Tinto has reached a binding agreement to sell its Eagle project to Lundin Mining Corporation for an estimated US$325 million in c ...
Thursday, 13 June 13
HARD COAL IMPORTS RISE SHARPLY IN GERMANY IN Q1 2013 - COAL IMPORTERS ASSOCIATION
Coal-fired Power Plants in Germany: Pillars of the Grid and the Energy Turnaround; Hard Coal Consumption and Hard Coal Imports Rise Sharply in Germa ...
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- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- PTC India Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Australian Coal Association
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
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