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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Thursday, 05 September 13
DRY BULK MARKET ON A HIGH ROLL, MAINLY THANKS TO CAPESIZE APPETITE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
Capesize owners have been rejoycing on the back of renewed optimism for the further rise in the dry bulk market's freight rates, especially when on ...
Wednesday, 04 September 13
RBCT SHIPPED 16.18 PERCENT MORE COAL IN JULY
COALspot.com - Richards Bay Coal Terminal (RBCT) is the single largest coal export terminal South African as well as in the world has shipped 6,162, ...
Wednesday, 04 September 13
SUPRAS AND HANDIES : INDONESIAN COAL CARGOES ARE SUPPORTING HEALTHY ACTIVITY LEVELS - INTERMODAL
The Dry Bulk market has pooled back a bit this week after firming for two weeks in a row. The BDI is s holding above 1,100 points and despite the sm ...
Tuesday, 03 September 13
AUSTRALIA'S NEWCASTLE PORT SHIPPED 22.93 PER CENT MORE COAL W-O-W
COALspot.com: Power plant and semi-soft coking coal shipments from Australia's Newcastle port up 22.93 per cent week on week to 3.39 million mt for ...
Sunday, 01 September 13
COAL SWAP SHOWS MIXED TREND
COALspot.com – Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for average Q4 2013 delivery 1.25 percent up month on month. The swap was moved posit ...
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- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
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