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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Monday, 16 September 13
WHAT RECOVERY MEANS FOR THE CAPESIZE MARKET - COMMODORE RESEARCH
COALspot.com: The simple fact that capesize rates have been able to increase above the $9,000/mark and become much more responsive to changes in car ...
Monday, 16 September 13
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP: STABLE TO STEADY
COALspot.com : SGX has launched API 8 CFR South China Coal Swap on 29 April 2013 and SGX replaced the previous swap.
API 8 CFR South China Coal s ...
Monday, 16 September 13
INDONESIAN SUB-BIT COAL SWAP STRUGGLING TO FINDS THE RIGHT PATH
COALspot.com – Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swap (FOB ) for average Q4 2013 delivery down 0.75 percept month on month on Friday 13 Septe ...
Sunday, 15 September 13
CAPE FREIGHT RATES RISE ON HIGH DEMAND AND TIGHT AVAILABILITY - CAPT. REDDY
COALspot.com : The BDI, Cape and Panamax indices are continued to rise and saw a steep surge with average index in these segments up around 25 pct w ...
Friday, 13 September 13
US COAL OUTPUT SLIPS 3.34% ON-WEEK
COALspot.com – United states the world’s second largest coal producer produced totaled approximately 20.20 million short tons (mmst) of ...
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- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- PTC India Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- MS Steel International - UAE
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
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