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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Thursday, 05 December 13
PANAMAX : THE FIRM TENDENCY CONTINUES - FEARNRESEARCH
Handy
It has been an active week for the Supramax and Handysize segment. USG is almost boiling and charterers looking to cover their December stems ...
Wednesday, 04 December 13
INDONESIAN COAL EXPORTS VOLUME AND REVENUE IN OCTOBER MARCHED TOWARDS NORTH
COALspot.com: Indonesia, the world's 4th largest coal producer and the largest multi grade coal exporter shipped over $1.76* billion worth of ...
Wednesday, 04 December 13
WEST AUSTRALIA IRON ORE FIXTURES ALSO CONTINUING TO PROVIDE A STEADY FLOW OF BUSINESS FOR CAPES - INTERMODAL
The Dry Bulk market has reversed course this past week, bringing back some of the lost excitement of the past month, as all size segments climbed hi ...
Wednesday, 04 December 13
THE BUYERS' DEMAND IS CONTINUOUSLY BULLISH - KONSTANTINOS KONTOMICHIS
The very low rates that prevailed for the bigger part of 2013 seem to have prepared the ground for buying opportunities for shipping investors. The ...
Wednesday, 04 December 13
SGX AND CFA TO COLLABORATE TO DEVELOP DERIVATIVES MARKETS IN CHINA AND SINGAPORE
Singapore Exchange (SGX) and the China Futures Association (CFA) are cooperating in the development of derivatives markets in China and Singapore.
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- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- PTC India Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Australian Coal Association
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- The University of Queensland
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
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