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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Wednesday, 25 December 13
SHIPPING : AS FAR AS THIS CYCLE IS CONCERNED, 'WE HAVE SEEN THE WORST....!' - JOHN N. COTZIAS
In a week’s time the year comes to an end. Having been a speaker in two seminars over the past 5 days I was able to see the year ending trends ...
Tuesday, 24 December 13
AUSTRALIAN NEWCASTLE PORT'S WEEKLY COAL EXPORTS UP 11.46% W-W
COALspot.com: In the week ended December 23, power plant and semi-soft coking coal shipments from the port of Newcastle in Queensland, totalled 3.84 ...
Tuesday, 24 December 13
SGX HAS LAUNCHED FREIGHT FUTURES
COALspot.com: Singapore Exchange (SGX) has announced the launch of freight future yesterday.
According to SGX’s press release, SGX has laun ...
Monday, 23 December 13
API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP FOR AVERAGE Q1' 14 CLOSED AT $ 82.80
COALspot.com : API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q1’ 14 delivery gained 2.97 percept month on month as on Friday 20 December 2013. ...
Sunday, 22 December 13
Q1' 14 DELIVERY COAL SWAPS CLOSING HIGH COMPARED TO Q4' 14 DELIVERY CLOSING
COALspot.com – Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swap (FOB) for average Q1’ 14 delivery gained $ 1.31 pmt month on month on Friday 20 December 2013 ...
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- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Parliament of New Zealand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Planning Commission, India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- The University of Queensland
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
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