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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Monday, 10 February 14
Q1 2015, API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP CLOSED AROUND $ 2 HIGHER THAN Q2 14 PRICE
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q2 14 delivery lost 2.61 percent month on month and closed at US$ 77.28 per mt as on Frid ...
Monday, 10 February 14
SUPRAMAX STILL AT AROUND US$ 5K + BB 50K DELIVERY KALIMANTAN FOR A TRIP TO INDIA - CAPT. REDDY
COALspot.com: The BDI was down by 1.71 pct and closed at 1091 points week ended 7 February 2014. The BDI seemed to reach the bottom as the cape inde ...
Saturday, 08 February 14
U.S PRODUCED 84.5 MMMST OF COAL IN JANUARY; 2.05% UP MONTH ON MONTH, EIA SAYS
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer, produced approximately 18.8 million short tons (mmst) of coal in ...
Friday, 07 February 14
DRY BULK MARKET ON ' REVERSE' MODE DUE TO CHINESE HOLIDAYS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market has kept its uninspiring mood throughout yet another week, with the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) hovering slightly above the 1,000-poi ...
Thursday, 06 February 14
INDONESIA'S BAN ON THE EXPORT OF RAW MINERAL ORES COMES INTO FORCE - INCE & CO
COALspot.com: On 12 January 2014, the ban on the export of unprocessed mineral ores came into effect in Indonesia. This ban enforces the Mining Law ...
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- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- VISA Power Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- The University of Queensland
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
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