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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Monday, 21 April 14
DRY BULK MARKET UPS AND - MOST RECENTLY - DOWNS OFFERS NO ROOM FOR RELAXING AMONG DRY BULK SHIP OWNERS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market's latest demise, with the market retrating once again, since the end of March, has come at a time, when most ship owners ...
Sunday, 20 April 14
FREIGHT RATES END WEEK ON WEAK NOTE - VISTAAR
Wish you all Happy Easter.
The freight market continued to its downwards as BDI was fell 7.187 percent to 930 points week on week.
The ...
Friday, 18 April 14
US WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION DECLINED BY 1% TO 18.9 MMST
COALspot.com – United States the world's second largest coal producer, produced approximately 18.9 million short tons (mmst) of coal i ...
Thursday, 17 April 14
DRY BULK MARKET ON RETREAT MODE, WHILE NEWBUILDING ORDERING ACTIVITY STALLS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market has kept on retreating this week, a pattern which emerged since late March. Yesterday the BDI (Baltic Dry Index) ended yet a ...
Wednesday, 16 April 14
INDONESIA'S FEBRUARY 2014 COAL EXPORT VOLUME FELL 2.41%
COALspot.com: Indonesia, the world 4th largest coal producer and the global largest multi grade coal exporter shipped around $1.77* billio ...
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- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
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- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
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- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- The University of Queensland
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- MS Steel International - UAE
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
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