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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Monday, 12 May 14
TAIPOWER TO IMPORT AROUND 1 MMT OF SUB-BITUMINOUS COAL DURING AUGUST 2014 THROUGH NOVEMBER 2014
COALspot.com - Taiwan Power Company intends to procure 1.050 million tons of sub-bituminous coal for Taipower thermal power plant through open t ...
Monday, 12 May 14
DRY BULK MARKET IS STILL STRUGGLING TO FIND FIRM FOOTING
COALspot.com: The freight market continued to be weak and the BDI closed slightly lower at 997 points or fell 1.96 pct week on week. The cape in ...
Friday, 09 May 14
RBCT SHIPPED 5.4 MMT OF COAL IN APRIL
COALspot.com: South Africa's Richards Bay Coal Terminal (RBCT) the single largest coal export terminal in the world, shipped 5.45 million to ...
Friday, 09 May 14
DRY BULK MARKET: BANKRUPTCY TONNAGE UNLEASHED
Drewry’s latest Dry Bulk Forecaster saw freight rates on most routes declined in 2014’s first quarter as the previous quarter’ ...
Friday, 09 May 14
UNITED STATES COAL PRODUCTION SLIGHTLY SLIDES TO 82.4 MMST IN APRIL
COALspot.com – United States the world's second largest coal producer, produced approximately 18.8 million short tons (mmst) of coal i ...
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- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
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