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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Saturday, 07 June 14
U.S. MONTHLY COAL PRODUCTION SLIGHTLY HIGHER IN MAY 2014
COALspot.com – United States the world's second largest coal producer, produced approximately 19.2 million short tons (mmst) of coal in a ...
Friday, 06 June 14
RICHARDS BAY COAL TERMINAL SHIPPED 4.221 MMT OF COAL TO SOUTHERN ASIAN COUNTRIES IN MAY
COALspot.com: South Africa's Richards Bay Coal Terminal (RBCT) the single largest export coal terminal in the world, shipped 5.58 million tons ...
Thursday, 05 June 14
RBCT SOUTH AFRICA SHIPPED 21% LESS COAL IN APRIL COMPARED TO MARCH EXPORTS
COALspot.com: South Africa's Richards Bay Coal Terminal (RBCT) the single largest export coal terminal in the world, shipped 5.45 million tons ...
Thursday, 05 June 14
PANAMAX : THIS WEEK STARTED IN A SLOW PACE - FEARNLEYS
Handy
After last week's silent and unexciting week we see some more activity this week, especially from the South American market. The rates ...
Thursday, 05 June 14
PORT OF NEWCASTLE SHIPPED 2.91 MMT OF COAL IN THIS PAST WEEK
COALspot.com: The figure constitutes a 4.30 percent higher compared to the previous week, following a week on week decreased of 19.13 percent recor ...
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- GMR Energy Limited - India
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- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
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- Eastern Energy - Thailand
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- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
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- Petron Corporation, Philippines
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- The University of Queensland
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- White Energy Company Limited
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- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
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- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
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- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
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- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
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- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
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- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
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- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
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- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
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- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
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- Australian Coal Association
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
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- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
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- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Minerals Council of Australia
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- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
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- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
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- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
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- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
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- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
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- Romanian Commodities Exchange
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- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
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- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
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- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
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- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- PTC India Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
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- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
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- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- VISA Power Limited - India
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