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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Thursday, 26 June 14
COAL DIVESTMENT CAMPAIGNS COME WITH RISKY UNINTENDED CONSEQUENCES - WCA
Last week I presented to the Expert Group on investments in coal and petroleum companies, the body set up to advise the Norwegian Government on whe ...
Wednesday, 25 June 14
INDONESIAN COAL EXPORTS ON RISE; EARNINGS FALL ON LOWER SELLING PRICES
COALspot.com: Indonesia, one of the world's largest coal producer and the global largest multi grade coal exporter shipped around $1.84* ...
Wednesday, 25 June 14
THE PANAMAX MARKET REACHED FRESH LOWS FOR THE YEAR, SAYS INTERMODAL
COALspot.com: The Dry Bulk market closed off the week noting a slight decrease, but this image of stability is merely representative of freight rat ...
Wednesday, 25 June 14
SHIPPING: MARKET INSIGHT - YANNIS OLZIERSKY
During his recent visit in London, China's Premier, Li Keqiang, announced that China's economy, the world's second largest after the US ...
Tuesday, 24 June 14
INDONESIAN COAL MINER TARGETS RP 313 BILLION IPO
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal miner PT Mitrabara Adiperdana is aiming to raise up to Rp 313 billion to Rp 368 billion (approximately $26.133 millio ...
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- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- White Energy Company Limited
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Australian Coal Association
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- The University of Queensland
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Economic Council, Georgia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
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