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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Thursday, 31 July 14
RIO TINTO SELLS MOZAMBIQUE COAL ASSETS FOR US$ 50 MILLION TO INDIA'S ICVL
COALspot.com: Rio Tinto has agreed to sell its Mozambique coal assets for just US$ 50 million to International coal ventures Private limited of Ind ...
Wednesday, 30 July 14
CAPES SEEMED TO BE STRANDED AT THE SAME LEVELS; PANAMAXES MANAGED TO SLIGHTLY REVIVE - INTERMODAL
COALspot.com: The Dry Bulk market took a breath this past week, as both Panamaxes and Supras started to see a small influx of activity, which was j ...
Tuesday, 29 July 14
TOTAL SELLS ITS SOUTH AFRICAN COAL MINING ASSETS TO EXXARO
Total has signed an agreement with Exxaro Resources Ltd for the sale of its 100% stake in Total Coal South Africa (TCSA), its coal-producing affili ...
Tuesday, 29 July 14
GENCO: DRY BULK SHIPPING VALUATIONS NO LONGER ANCHORED TO DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW METHOD - WEIL
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Discounted cash flow analysis is a mainstay among the valuation methodologies used by restructuring professionals and bank ...
Tuesday, 29 July 14
SHIP OWNERS' DEMAND OF NEW VESSELS DENTED AS A RESULT OF LOWER FREIGHT RATES - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The sharp downward direction of dry bulk freight rates has had a negative impact on investors’ secondhand buying appetite that wait to see th ...
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- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- The University of Queensland
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Planning Commission, India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Australian Coal Association
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
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