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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Sunday, 07 September 14
FREIGHT MARKET CONTINUED TO BE FIRM IN SPITE OF CAPE'S THIS WEEK'S WEAK PERFORMANCE
COALspot.com: BDI up by 0.7 pct week on week and closed at 1155 points this week. The Baltic Dry Index is a composite of three sub-indexes that mea ...
Sunday, 07 September 14
SHIPMANAGERS SUPERVISION CONTRACT FOR NEWBUILDS - BIMCO
Shipmanagers are frequently called upon by their owner clients to supervise newbuilding projects on their behalf. The scope of the manager’s ...
Saturday, 06 September 14
SLOW COAL EXPORT REGISTRATION RAISES CONCERNS - THE JAKARTA POST
Several coal mining companies have yet to receive the go-ahead from the Energy and Mineral Resources Ministry to obtain exporting licenses, leading ...
Saturday, 06 September 14
DRY BULK MARKET'S PROSPECTS ARE IMPROVING, DESPITE WEAK SECOND QUARTER - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market has been rebounding during the past month, with the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) ended the week on a high note, reaching 1,155 points ...
Saturday, 06 September 14
INDONESIA WANTS TO REGULATE COAL DEALS - THE TELEGRAPH INDIA
Indonesia has raised concerns about suspected coal deals struck between overseas buyers and its unregistered domestic miners, the telegraph India r ...
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- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Planning Commission, India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Australian Coal Association
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- PTC India Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
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