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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Sunday, 19 October 14
LOW DEMAND PUSHES DOWN COAL FREIGHT RATES; VOLATILITY CONTINUES
COALspot.com: This week all the segments softened including BDI except for Panamax index.
The BDI was down by1.70 pct and clsoed at 944 points ...
Friday, 17 October 14
INTERNATIONAL COAL PRICES ARE AT LOWEST LEVEL; COAL STOCKS AT INDIAN POWER PLANTS ARE ALSO AT LOWEST LEVEL
International coal prices as well as coal freights are falling and reaching to its lowest levels. According to PTI, fuel stockpiles at the thermal ...
Friday, 17 October 14
U.S. COAL PRODUCTION UP BY 3.6% WEEK - ON - WEEK
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of largest coal producers, produced approximately 19.20 million short tons (mmst) of coal in ...
Friday, 17 October 14
DRY BULK SHIPPING'S OUTLOOK NOW SHIFTING TO A LESS PROMISING ONE, SHIP PRICES EXPECTED TO FOLLOW SOON - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
China’s and other Asian countries’ return to the dry bulk market last week, didn’t trigger the hoped support towards the dry bulk ...
Thursday, 16 October 14
KOREA MIDLAND POWER TO BUY 490K MT OF LCV COAL FOR 1Q 2015
COALspot.com : Korea Midland Power Co., Ltd. has invited bids through International open bidding for 490,000 Metric Tons (MT) of LCV (Sub) Bitumino ...
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- Planning Commission, India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- PTC India Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- The University of Queensland
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
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