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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Sunday, 02 November 14
CAPE INDEX WAS UP 46.65% WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com: The BDI and Cape index continued the strong upward trend this week. The BDI was up 19.80 pct and Cape index was up by 46.65 per ...
Friday, 31 October 14
BUKIT ASAM'S NET PROFIT ROSE 27.42% FOR THE PERIOD JANUARY - SEPTEMBER 2014
COALspot.com: Publicly listed coal miner Bukit Asam reported solid profits in the first nine months of 2014 year.
Coal miner Bukit Asam manage ...
Friday, 31 October 14
U.S PRODUCED AROUND 19.3 MMST OF COAL IN A WEEK
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of largest coal producers, produced approximately 19.3 million short tons (mmst) of coal in ...
Thursday, 30 October 14
COAL & GRAINS SUPPORT PANAMAX AND IRON ORE SUPPORTS CAPES
Handy
The Atlantic market has been flat this week. Rates are up about US$ 200 from last week on the TA´s, but the volumes are about the sam ...
Thursday, 30 October 14
DOES A LOU ARBITRATION AGREEMENT FOR THE UNDERLYING CARGO CLAIM COMPLETELY REPLACE THE BILL OF LADING ARBITRATION CLAUSE? - INCE &CO
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
In the context of cargo claims brought under four bills of lading, the Commercial Court has recently considered whether a ...
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- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Planning Commission, India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Minerals Council of Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
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