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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Tuesday, 02 December 14
U.S WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION FELL 1.4% WEEK ON WEEK - EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 18.6 million short tons (mmst) o ...
Tuesday, 02 December 14
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAPS LOST MONTH OVER MONTH
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal for delivery Q1' 2015 lost month on month, week on week and day over day.
The Q1 swap has lost U ...
Tuesday, 02 December 14
SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL Q1' 15 DELIVERY SWAP CLOSED AT US$ 49.50
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q1' 2015 lost month on month, week over week and day on day.
The Q1 swap has lost US$ 0.4 ...
Monday, 01 December 14
SGX'S FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP FOR Q1' 2015 DELIVERY CLOSED AT US$ 52.50
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery closed at US$ 52.50 on 28 November after losing US$ 1.20 (-2.23%) month ove ...
Monday, 01 December 14
Q2' 15 DELIVERY CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP CLOSED 0.42% LOWER THAN Q1' 15 DELIVERY CLOSING
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery has decreased US$ 2.45 (-3.78%) month over month and US$ 0.67 (-1.06%) we ...
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- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- White Energy Company Limited
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Parliament of New Zealand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
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