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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Friday, 12 December 14
U.S WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION UP 3.4% W/E DECEMBER 6
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 19.6 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
Wednesday, 10 December 14
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - GEORGE ILIOPOULOS, INTERMODAL
COALspot.com: As 2014 is coming to an end, we look back to what has happened during the year and notice that SnP activity has been particularly sof ...
Wednesday, 10 December 14
WORLD HARD COAL MARKET 2014: PRODUCTION AND TRADE STAGNATING, IMPORTS TO GERMANY AND EUROPE ON THE DECLINE
Press Release: German Coal Importers Association (VDKi) criticizes regulations ordering reduction of CO2 emissions from coal-fired power plants as ...
Tuesday, 09 December 14
PRESSURE ON CHINA COAL MINERS TO CONTINUE DESPITE GOVERNMENT SUPPORT - FITCH
COALspot.com: Fitch Ratings says that Chinese coal mining companies will continue to be pressured by low prices, which will persist despite recent ...
Tuesday, 09 December 14
Q4' 2015, FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP CLOSED AT $ 49.02 W/E 5 DEC
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q1' 2015 lost month on month, week over week and day on day.
The Q1 swap has lost US$ 0.2 ...
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- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Planning Commission, India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Australian Coal Association
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
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