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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Sunday, 15 February 15
BALTIC DRY INDEX CONTINUALLY DIPPED IN RED
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KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
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SMALL AND MEDIUM-SIZED SHIP OWNERS SQUEEZED OUT OF THE MARKET ON CRASHING DRY BULK MARKET AND EUROZONE CRISIS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
Financing issues have started to tighten the noose in the throats of small and medium-size ship owners, who were already facing problems over the p ...
Thursday, 12 February 15
CAPESIZE: THE BEST DESCRIPTION FOR THE MARKET IS, FLAT - FEARNRESEARCH
Handy
The handy and supra market is also being affected by the marginal volume of activity in the commodity sales. We see a small upturn in the T ...
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- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- The University of Queensland
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Planning Commission, India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Australian Coal Association
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
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